President Trump Endorses J.D. Vance: Rolling the dice for the ultimate jackpot, Saving America

It will indeed test how much a Trump endorsement means to candidates such as J.D. Vance for the Ohio Senate. Because with less than a month out from the May 3rd primary election, J.D. Vance is fighting with several other candidates for the old Rob Portman seat, and among them, Mike Gibbons appears by polling to be in the lead. I have been on the fence with Jane Timken, Josh Mandel, and J.D. Vance from the beginning of the race. I’ve come to know all of them, and I like them. Mike Gibbons, for me, was a distant fourth place; he is way too squishy for me. But he’s not the worst in the world. For me, this race came down to who would be a good fighter who would push back against Mitch McConnell for the leadership role again and who could fight with MAGA in the senate and start to turn the tide in ways that Ted Cruz and Rand Paul have not yet managed to accomplish. I’ve had my eye on Josh Mandel for that kind of combat. He’s shown that he’s willing to fight and make things uncomfortable for opponents, which I think the next senate term will need. But obviously, Trump has other ideas. I’m sure Marjorie Taylor Green’s endorsement of J.D. Vance helped Trump’s decision, along with his son, Don Jr., and the billionaire tycoon, Peter Theil. I see a strategy evolving, and J.D. Vance wouldn’t be bad for that strategy, so while I was surprised to see President Trump endorse anybody in the senate race, particularly J.D. Vance, the overall strategy could be a good one. And it says a lot about what kind of message Trump intends to sell about his next term and the kind of America we are likely to be when we get there. 

J.D. Vance has been a never-Trumper, much like Glenn Beck was. Trump has come around to forgiving Beck. It has taken me longer to even listen to Beck again, sometimes, because of how he was against Trump in 2016. Things were very personal back then. I was one of the few people who openly supported Trump during the Republican primary, and I remember what people said and did against him. I was not for the Trump dinner endorsement with Mitt Romney, which turned out to be such a disaster. As much as I like him, Trump has a personality trait that some might call a weakness; he wants to convert people over to his way of thinking. He likes to be liked, although he doesn’t let being liked alter his management style. So, he gets away with a weakness for love of likeability, and the J.D. Vance story is one of those Trump success stories. Does it look better in 2024 to put people close to you from the beginning, like Jane Timken or Josh Mandel, or to convert a friend from Never-Trumper to ally in the senate? Trump thinks the conversion is better. I think the loyalty is. I would have picked Josh Mandel if I was Trump because he was always with Trump, even when it wasn’t popular in 2016.

But Trump has plenty of people in his camp who were loyal when it was hard. What will likely mean more in uniting the country after the 2022 midterms shows that people who used to not like Trump are suddenly very pro-Trump, and that is what J.D. Vance has been? I’ve met J.D. Vance a few times through a very dear friend where I could talk to him personally. He’s a very nice young man who certainly has the kind of tenacity that you’d like to see representing Ohio in the senate. The movie based on his life, Hillbilly Elegy, and the book he wrote of the same title tells a very compelling story of a struggling blue-collar family from my backyard of Middletown, Ohio, that I think will keep Vance from being pulled into any corruption in Washington D.C.  J.D. Vance doesn’t need politics to define him as a person, which I can’t say the same about Rob Portman in the beginning. I was with Portman when he first started; he needed politics to define him as a person. I set up the WLW interview where Portman debated a similar panel of Republicans all wanting to take a vacating House seat back in 1993 when his political career was just starting. I wondered about Portman even back then. He said all the right things. He hung around with the disparaged Ross Perot supporters as kind of a fringe Reform Party candidate. But as we saw over the next several decades, he became one of the biggest RINOs in Ohio. He worked too well with the far-left progressive Sharrod Brown. Obviously, we’d like to seem more of a fighter than a bridgebuilder for his replacement. 

When it comes to politics, it’s always about how the game will be played, not necessarily how it is played today. With what we know, election fraud, government corruption, and globalism on every front, we are shocked to see what we always suspected was just under the surface. Trump looks to have a clear strategy for tackling the problem of Saving America. Not just Making it Great Again, but saving it from all three branches of government led by a knowledgeable executive branch, where an understanding of trade tariffs will be critical to those battles to come. Perhaps J.D. Vance will be able to go on prime-time television and sell just how America can get 10 trillion dollars in damages from China to begin to pay for the massive damage to our economy from the Covid attack. Or perhaps J.D. Vance will be another Romney dud. Whatever the case, what’s clear is that Trump isn’t playing it safe. If Trump wanted to show how many victories he could get with his endorsement, J.D. Vance was not the safe pick. It’s somewhat risky. 

It should be an exciting primary. Trump’s visit to Delaware, Ohio, will undoubtedly help get voters out in what is typically a lite primary election. And higher voters mean more votes for the fewer establishment candidates, which is a marvelous thing. We should all be much better off than when we started the year. With a higher turnout, we’ll have a more representative government, so however things come out on the 3rd, we’ll have a good idea of how 2022 will shape up. Trump could have played it safe and stayed out of the primary until the results were announced, then supported the Republican, whoever it ended up being. But by picking J.D. Vance, he decided to make a high stake bet. And that is something I can respect, even if J.D. Vance wasn’t my pick. I can appreciate the chance Trump is willing to make when he didn’t need to make it. If he were a typical politician playing politics the way it is typically played, such an endorsement never would have happened. And since it did, we can at least see that Trump isn’t afraid to roll the dice for a big jackpot. And the winner of this jackpot means nothing less than Saving America for generations to come. 

Rich Hoffman

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The Good Guy J.D. Vance: There’s a long way to go, but he’s certainly one you’d like to see get there

A Good Guy, J.D. Vance

Nancy Nix continues to be a great example of influence leadership in Butler County, Ohio.  I attribute the success of any endeavor, whether it’s a successful business or a political community, to the strength of its influence leadership, which I spend a lot of time talking about in my new book, The Gunfighter’s Guide to Business.  Influence leaders are not the ones who put a spotlight on themselves; but instead, they work as leaders in ways that aren’t traditionally measured for the success of any enterprise.  And that’s what Nancy does, and how I finally was able to meet J.D. Vance after many other opportunities to do so came up short.  I had wanted to meet J.D. since he is running for the Rob Portman senate seat.  I had been writing about how much I like Jane Timken in that role.  I had liked Josh Mandel because I know him as a Tea Party guy.  But I’m not crazy how he has managed the pressure once he did get essential seats.  Timken just picked up an endorsement of Kristi Noem, which meant a lot to me, but the big drawback there is that she’s too close to Mike DeWine.  When I have talked to her personally, she is quick to explain the complexity of that relationship.  I give her some room there because everyone has to have some representation as a party leader even if she doesn’t agree with everything they do.  But the question is, to what effect would other things be accepted in accepting a few screwballs here and there?  Some other candidates for this Rob Portman Senate race are not viable, likely under 10%ers who just muddy the water.  But J.D. Vance is one whom I’ve wanted to like because I liked his book Hillbilly Elegy when it first came out, and I have thought he did a great job in the media covering that book and talking about Trump’s White House.  Yet he seemed too good, so I have had questions for him that you could only tell upon meeting someone, and until Nancy managed to get us together, I would have never otherwise known. 

When reading the Hillbilly Elegy, I had thought that it was precisely people like J.D. Vance who should be managing our affairs in government.  After all, he checked all the boxes; he was a lawyer trained at Yale, worked in the tech industry, was a Marine, and rose from the ashes of Middletown, Ohio, which is literally in my back yard to move into great things of personal achievement. They made an interesting Netflix movie about his life and family based on the book, and I wondered if his wife was as sweet and understanding in real life as she was in the book and movie.  As it turned out, she was.  And when meeting J.D., you can tell without a shadow of a doubt that he is a good guy.  A very good person and the reason for it is that he had a good family.  Sure, the Hillbilly Elegy was about severe dysfunction at certain levels. Vance’s mother is now known so well for her history of substance abuse.  He had a wild childhood that crushes most kids in most families, most of the time.  As J.D. says in his book, he is astonished to come from his childhood and into this new life as a normal person.  I don’t think I am too surprised that J.D. is such a good person because even with all the dysfunction with his mother, he had a very good family otherwise.  Many people inside the Beltway politics don’t know that those from the mountains of Kentucky and West Virginia, on down into Tennessee and Virginia, are pretty intelligent.  They have been ridiculed and made fun of in every way that society can make fun of a people.  But I’ve known them all my life, and I have had family members go through the same kind of thing as J.D. has.  Luckily my parents were rock solid, but I have cousins and aunts and uncles who were every bit as troubled as J.D. Vance’s mother was.  It often comes from being too smart for their own good, which gets them into trouble, and they turn to drugs to shut out the voices of logic that run counter to a crazy world.  Reality is just a little too real for them, and they collapse on themselves.  But in J.D. Vance’s story, his strong and deep family is pretty standard among the people I know, and yes, they are Trump voters.  They listen to Alex Jones in the garage through a rebel radio network.  I have family, in fact, that still lives down in the areas of Kentucky, such as Slade and Buckhorn, who are so suspicious of census workers that often those government workers disappear, never to be heard from again. 

I had a few copies of the Hillbilly Elegy; I bought the updated paperback when it came out after the Netflix film was released, and J.D. had added the new afterword at the back of the book.  There he explains that he took his book proceeds and bought the property down in Jackson, Kentucky, where his grandparents were buried, and stated that he wanted to preserve the land so that his kids could enjoy it as he did.  I brought that book with me for him to sign at our meeting, which he did.  Yes, J.D. Vance is a really good and sincere person.  He is the real deal.  But my concern was how would he hold up under the pressure of politics once the honeymoon was over and his Mr. Smith Goes to Washington moment was over.  After all, it’s not a question as to whether he can get elected.  J.D. has some great campaign people.  He has great fundraising and support.  He is great at television and other forms of communication.  He has a supportive wife.  You can check all the positives.  Is he tough? Well, he had to be to come out of childhood without being a mess.  Can he stand up to corruption?  I think he has no tolerance for corruption and can afford to stand up to it, knowing that he has a good family to lean on no matter what happens in his life.  So, I asked him the question I wanted to ask, why I needed to meet him. “So what will make you different than Ted Cruz and Rand Paul, other Mr. Smith Goes to Washington types who get into the Senate with great intentions only to get buzz-sawed in that corrupt culture?” And he said the only thing that could be the correct answer; he said, “well, it’s going to take a coalition of about 8 or 9 people, and from there, we can begin to turn the tide.” It was good to hear that he understood that beyond just campaign talk.  Everyone has great ideas when they are trying to get elected.  But very few know what to do once they get there.

J.D. Vance on the Warroom

J.D. Vance was ready for the buzz-saw.  His wife was there, and I could see her look; it was the look of a supportive wife who would have enjoyed being anywhere but there because all the handshaking was not her thing.  But in her was that same kind of unconditional and dependable love that J.D. had with his Mamaw.  How do I know, because I have a wife like that, and I had a grandmother much as J.D. did.  Appalachia women from the mountains and the wild men they married and tamed.  It’s a Middletown, Hamilton, Ohio kind of thing.  And when you find a wife who understands, then it can make a person nearly invincible.  And for those reasons and more, J.D. Vance is a good option for that much-needed Senate seat. There’s a long way to go in the race yet. Still, I would love for a person like J.D. Vance to fill such a seat when the world is desperately hungry for those kinds of people to manage our government with influence leadership and a tremendous personal foundation for truth and justice for all.  I want to see how all these candidates hold up under the pressure in the upcoming months, but I can at least say now, I am cheering for J.D. Vance.  I hope to see him intact at the finish line.

Rich Hoffman

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Defending J.D. Vance: Its about shelf life and winning over the other side

Defending J.D. Vance

I’ve had a few opportunities to meet J.D. Vance recently, both of which fell short on aligning schedules.  I have been traveling a lot this year, and coming out of the Covid burdens, it has been a busy time.  Vance is running for the Rob Portman Senate seat that I talk about in the video above.  So are Josh Mandel and Jane Timken, along with several others.  All of the candidates seem like they have something good to bring to the seat as Portman exits.  As I also said in the video, I knew Rob Portman when he first started in politics.  He was a kind of Ross Perot Reform Party guy back then, and over time as the glaciers of D.C. politics have worn away at him, he has become a serious RINO, essentially no better than Mitt Romney.  This doesn’t surprise me, nor do the reports that J.D. Vance was a Never Trumper in 2016.  This past week the media looking to churn up controversy in what they consider to be the front runner in the race, J.D. fresh off his successful movie, the Hillbilly Elegy, and book by the same name. Vance has good funding from Peter Theil in the vicinity of $10 million, which is a good start for an Ohio senate race.  I think a lot of the bad media is a good sign for Vance and that a proper defense of him is warranted.  But again, as I mention in the video, the purpose of a primary is not to determine the best character who can run for that seat; it’s who has the best shelf life once they win it.  Which candidate can hold their life together long enough to withstand the rigors of elected life in a powerful seat?

I will meet with Jane Timken coming up soon, which I plan not to miss.  J.D. has had events practically in my backyard as he’s from Middletown, and if I get another chance, I’ll make room for it.  I know Josh Mandel pretty well from his Tea Party activism, and if I had to pick, it would be him right now.  I personally like him, but he doesn’t have much of a reputation as a winner.  He lost a challenge to the socialist Sharrod Brown, and he’s had family trouble.  To me, that’s a shelf-life problem.   I warned Rob Portman of the shelf-life issue when he was making his first run for congress and when he did win, I maintained some relationship with him for a few years after.  His shelf life was about seven years.  Some people like Rand Paul and his father have lasted a lot longer.  Some don’t last much beyond their freshman years intact with their Mr. Smith Goes to Washington intentions. It’s a cutthroat business that a lot of politicians don’t understand until they get there.  A primary election is an excellent way to give them a taste and let voters figure out what that political shelf life might look like.

I wasn’t very excited about J.D. Vance, I’ll admit, when I had those two invites to meet him over the last few months.  I am skeptical of anyone who works for any period with the very liberal film director Ron Howard.  Ron did a great job on the movie Hillbilly Elegy, and he couldn’t have done that good of a job without working closely and getting to know J.D. Vance.  The film and the book are essentially about the life story of Vance and how Middletown, Ohio fell from grace and produced problems for a displaced Appalachia family.  The Vance story is one I know well.  I could tell the same story for thousands of people I know in Hamilton and Middletown, Ohio, who came from Kentucky and West Virginia to get jobs at Fisher Body in Hamilton and Armco in Middletown.  Vance was a darling to liberals, which he played to his advantage while it lasted.  The movie was Academy Award level material, and the book was a New York Times Best Seller. As I’ve said many times, you don’t get those accolades unless you give progressivism a sacrifice on Kong’s Skull Island.   Much like the book The Deer Hunter did, capitalism was painted as the cause of Middletown’s failure, of the small town of Appalachia culture that failed the people of those communities.  But in reality, it’s tampering by government with the markets that ruined those jobs.  It was union activism that made the supply chain unreliable in many cases, and it is that behavior that causes economic downturns anywhere. 

But I saw more than that in Hillbilly Elegy, not just in J.D. Vance himself. He prevailed in the story despite the massive setbacks from his drug-addicted mom and the seemingly dysfunctional antics of his grandmother.  Again, I know lots and lots of these kinds of people, and I know the real story of their lives better than Hollywood, looking to make a statement about the failures of capitalism.  I saw a person in Vance who understood personal responsibility and overcoming barriers, which was a metaphor for his life and the town of Middletown as a whole.   And since 2016, and especially once he was done with the movie, I was not surprised to see a kind of Trumpian candidate that fits well in the American First platform of President Trump.  Vance gets the philosophy and knows how to hit the cable news stations and sell it.  The question everyone has is what kind of shelf life does J.D. Vance have, and does he genuinely believe what he’s saying now. 

Oh, I remember 2016 when Vance was posting on Twitter disparaging things about Trump.  I knew a lot of Republicans who were right along with him.  They were Never Trumpers, just like Glenn Beck was.  Glenn Beck and I shared a mutual friend in Doc Thompson, and there were always talks of doing work on The Blaze, which often put Doc in a tough spot.  I was so mad at Glenn Beck that I swore him off forever. I’m happy to see he has since found his mind now that it’s obvious how good the Trump presidency was.  But if I refused to deal with people who were Never Trumpers, who has since seen the light, I wouldn’t be able to talk to anybody.  There weren’t many of us who were pro-Trump in 2016 who were willing to admit it publicly.  I was a Trump supporter from the beginning and have watched many people change their minds, so it isn’t surprising that Vance has now seen the light.  To my mind, it’s all about building teams, of winning over people’s minds.  So I welcome Vance and people like him who have learned and evolved.  Welcome to the winning team!

Yet when the primary election is held, and whoever wins among these candidates for the Portman Senate seat, we must keep in mind shelf life.  We want a person who will be just as good ten years from now as they are during their freshman year.  We want someone who will be able to still talk about America First after they’ve had a line of lobbyists outside their office trying to buy them off with easy money and cheap wine that will be all too tempting to consume.  And for J.D. Vance’s enduring love for a self-destructive mother hell-bent on drug abuse, I think the young man knows something about overcoming adversity.  He might be the kind of person who can withstand the rigors and maintain a long shelf life in a powerful seat in public office. I’d be more than willing to give him an honest look.

Rich Hoffman

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