A Mask of Radicalism: Somali policies in Ohio and the Trojan Horse Democrats are using to overthrow America

One of the biggest blind spots in government workforce planning is the tendency to treat people as raw numbers—bodies that fill a statistical need—without considering the cultural and ideological factors that shape behavior. When policymakers focus only on headcount, they ignore the reality that ideas matter. Religion, values, and worldview are not incidental; they influence how communities adapt to laws, civic norms, and workplace expectations. If those dynamics are overlooked, the result isn’t just inefficiency—it’s instability.  And to that point, religions that start with an angel talking to one person, then that person writes down everything that the rest of society accepts as a religion, such as Mormonism, Scientology with L. Ron Hubbard, or Islam with Muhammad who had the angel Gabriel show up at his cave every Monday to give him sections of the Quaran over a long period of time, that would become the Islam of today, we should always behold some logical scrutiny, which is certainly missing from third world politics.  Islam has shown that it has a desire to overthrow Western civilization, so in that intention, we have to take them at their word and deal with the situation appropriately—as a hostile intention, not a doctrine of peace and prosperity. 

Ohio’s approach to immigration illustrates this risk. In the push to attract labor for manufacturing and logistics, politicians like Mike DeWine and this ridiculous Democrat Mayor of Columbus have often prioritized quantity over quality, assuming that any influx of workers will strengthen the economy. But history shows that cultural adaptation is not automatic. Communities arriving from regions with vastly different governance traditions—especially those rooted in rigid ideological systems—face steep challenges adjusting to the norms of a constitutional republic. When adaptation fails, the gap doesn’t just affect productivity; it can foster resentment, isolation, and, in rare but dangerous cases, radicalization.

This isn’t about denying opportunity. It’s about acknowledging that importing large populations without a clear integration strategy can introduce third-world social patterns into first-world systems. When those patterns persist—whether through insular neighborhoods, resistance to civic norms, or ideological rigidity—they undermine the very conditions that make economic growth possible. A workforce strategy that ignores these realities is not a strategy at all; it’s a gamble with public safety and long-term stability.

A statistical and policy analysis of Somali-linked issues in Ohio requires precise demography, a clear account of recent federal immigration enforcement in Columbus, and rigorous scrutiny of crime correlations. Evidence from American Community Survey (ACS) rollups, Ohio administrative refugee data, municipal statements, and peer-reviewed/official crime research indicates: (1) Franklin County and Columbus anchor Ohio’s Somali population; (2) municipal policy in Columbus separates civil immigration status from local criminal policing while acknowledging federal arrest authority; (3) immigrant crime rates—documented and undocumented—are consistently lower than those of U.S.-born populations in the best-identified state-level datasets; and (4) citywide violent-crime trends in 2024–2025 declined markedly, complicating claims that heightened federal presence is necessary for local safety.  I would argue that these stats are down because law enforcement has not occurred as it should because of the politics involved.  The Biden administration did not do its job and allowed these cells to grow on purpose.  Just because law enforcement doesn’t do its job, because it wants a political disturbance to occur, doesn’t mean the problem doesn’t exist.  Only that it was ignored.12345

ACS-derived demographic summaries attribute approximately 26,402 residents of Somali ancestry to Ohio, with approximately 22,899 within the City of Columbus and approximately 24,432 in Franklin County overall; concentration thus clusters in central Ohio rather than being evenly distributed statewide.12 Language-use indicators from Franklin County’s HealthMap show Somali and other Afro‑Asiatic language speakers rising from 25,051 (2019) to 27,074 (2022) in Columbus, situating the metro among the nation’s highest concentrations and frequently described as second only to Minneapolis–St. Paul by press accounts referencing ACS compilations.3

Refugee intake to Ohio has been concentrated in five counties, including Franklin. State administrative records document ongoing arrivals by nationality, with Somalia among recent cohorts. In 2024, records show 326 Somali refugee arrivals statewide, with roughly 301 in Columbus, reflecting federal resettlement pipelines and secondary migration toward existing community networks.  And in regard to their assimilation into general productive culture, I can say that recently I was leaving the Statehouse in Columbus and just one block south along a major roadway with thousands of people going by, there was a Somali man standing on the corner without his pants, his penis in full view of everyone driving by.  He made no attempt to cover himself, but just looked at everyone going by like he was on another planet.4

Columbus policy—initiated by executive order in 2017 and codified thereafter—directs city resources not to assist federal immigration enforcement based solely on civil immigration status. Local policing remains engaged for criminal conduct and public‑safety incidents, but civil-status enforcement is explicitly outside the municipal scope. Public reaffirmations in December 2025 by the mayor, police chief, and city attorney emphasized that the Division of Police does not investigate residents solely based on immigration status.567, which is why the crime statistics are down.  Because they just don’t do the job, such as arrest that person I mentioned for indecent exposure.  There was a police car in front of me as I drove by, and they did nothing about the indecent exposure that was obvious. During mid‑December 2025, city officials verified increased activity by federal immigration agents. Rights guidance highlighted warrant requirements, non‑obstruction, and legal-aid resources; contemporaneous reporting noted limited operational transparency from federal authorities to local agencies.67

In late May–early June 2025, a federal list of so‑called ‘sanctuary jurisdictions’ briefly included Columbus and Franklin County. Following cross‑jurisdiction pushback and accuracy challenges—including objections from jurisdictions that actively support federal enforcement—the Department of Homeland Security removed the list within days; Associated Press summaries and local outlets documented misspellings and unclear criteria. Subsequent Justice Department publications (August 5, 2025) did not enumerate Columbus/Franklin among listed cities, underscoring definitional volatility across federal communications.89101112

Claims that immigration elevates crime often rely on anecdote or single‑case salience. High‑integrity state-series recording of immigration status in arrest data provides more probative value. A National Institute of Justice–funded analysis of Texas arrest records (2012–2018) found undocumented immigrants arrested at less than half the rate of U.S.-born citizens for violent and drug crimes and roughly a quarter the rate for property crimes; homicide arrest rates among undocumented immigrants were the lowest across the series.13 National syntheses explain persistent gaps in incarceration and prosecution. Migration Policy Institute’s 2024 explainer details lower incarceration rates among immigrants, including unauthorized residents, and the absence of a consistent positive relationship between immigrant presence and violent crime in state and city studies. Historical comparisons of Census-linked incarceration (Northwestern University, 2024) show immigrants never exceeding U.S.-born incarceration rates over 150 years, with modern periods reflecting approximately 60 percent lower incarceration among immigrants.  That says more about the point that police don’t do the job, than that there aren’t crimes from these communities.  If a tree falls in the forest and people don’t see it, did it really happen?  Well, of course.  The crimes happen, but the police are often too busy at the coffee shop getting a donut because they know there is no political support from the political order to arrest hostile immigrants and their abundance of crime.1415

Citywide violent‑crime metrics declined markedly. Public briefings and media coverage reported homicides down ~35 percent year‑over‑year, felonious assaults down ~22 percent, non‑fatal shootings down ~26 percent, and car thefts down ~18 percent by December 18, 2025. Year‑end counts indicated ≈81 homicides, the lowest annual number in a decade; mid‑year reporting documented substantial reductions in homicides, felony assaults, and shootings relative to 2024 benchmarks.  This could largely be attributed to the incoming Trump administration federally, compared to the policies of Joe Biden’s White House that ignored crime from immigrant communities.5161718

Manufacturing, logistics, health care, and service sectors in central Ohio draw from multilingual labor pools that include Somali‑origin workers. Predictable, rights‑respecting enforcement climates strengthen stability in attendance, safety compliance, and neighborhood trust. Municipal non‑cooperation on civil status—paired with a commitment to investigate criminal conduct—preserves emergency calling and witness cooperation while acknowledging federal arrest authority.56 Education administrators disseminated protocols reiterating visitor control, warrant verification, and student release rules; these messages stabilize operations during periods of heightened federal activity reports and curb rumor‑driven disruptions to essential services.19

Minnesota hosts the largest Somali‑origin population in the United States. Recent reporting places statewide estimates at 61,000–80,000, with a concentration in Minneapolis–St. Paul and a majority of residents holding citizenship or permanent residency; Temporary Protected Status for Somali nationals covers only several hundred nationwide. Allegations linking social‑service fraud to terrorism lacked prosecutorial material‑support charges at the time of reporting, indicating the need to separate rhetoric from chargeable facts.22021

Federal authority encompasses deportation orders, criminal‑alien priorities, and visa‑overstay enforcement; municipal discretion in Columbus allocates police resources toward criminal matters rather than civil status while maintaining emergency response and public‑safety duties. If safety is the stated rationale for escalated civil‑status operations, downward violent‑crime trajectories before and during federal surges complicate attribution, absent transparent arrest composition and case outcomes. Public records of ICE detention holds provide volume hints but lack disaggregated origin and offense detail necessary for robust inference.51222

Ohio’s Somali population is predominantly concentrated in Franklin County and Columbus, with measurable language‑use growth and documented refugee arrivals. Municipal policy delineates a boundary between civil immigration status and local criminal policing. The strongest available arrest/incarceration evidence indicates lower offending rates among immigrants relative to U.S.-born populations, and Columbus’s 2025 violent‑crime reductions challenge assertions that broader status‑driven enforcement is required to secure local safety. Transparent metrics and risk‑weighted priorities constitute the appropriate framework for enforcement policy.

The Somali issue in Columbus is a case study in this tension. What began as a resettlement initiative to meet labor needs has evolved into a demographic shift with political and cultural consequences. When enforcement agencies raise concerns about radicalization risks, and local officials respond by shielding entire communities from scrutiny, the conversation gets framed as discrimination instead of security. That framing prevents honest debate about how to balance compassion with accountability—and how to ensure that immigration policy strengthens, rather than erodes, the foundations of a free society.  You can take third-world ideas about religion, obedience, economy, and social values and inject them into a first-world, law-driven utopia.  In some cases, it might work, depending on the religious affiliation of the people involved.  But in cases such as we have seen from Somali refugees in Minnesota and in Ohio, we have to take action proactively.  All things, all people, and all religions are not equal, and dumb politicians need to learn the difference to have a properly functioning society.  There are a lot of forces in the world that want to use the radicalized religion of Islam as a weapon of destruction against the Western world.  And for that reason, we have to have ICE raids to remove those elements for the security of our nation.

Notes

1. Neilsberg, ‘Somali Population in Ohio by City: 2025 Ranking & Insights,’ updated October 1, 2025, https://www.neilsberg.com/insights/lists/somali-population-in-ohio-by-city/.

2. Neilsberg, ‘Somali Population in Franklin County, OH by City: 2025 Ranking & Insights,’ updated October 1, 2025, https://www.neilsberg.com/insights/lists/somali-population-in-franklin-county-oh-by-city/.

3. Samantha Hendrickson, ‘Non-English languages are increasing in Columbus, recent data show,’ The Columbus Dispatch, June 27, 2025, https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/local/2025/06/27/non-english-languages-are-increasing-in-columbus-recent-data-show/84332788007/.

4. Ohio Department of Job & Family Services, ‘Refugee Arrivals,’ 2024 table, https://jfs.ohio.gov/cash-food-and-refugee-assistance/refugee-services/refugee-arrivals/refugee-arrivals.

5. WBNS 10TV, ‘Mayor, police chief address reported ICE operations in Columbus,’ December 18, 2025, https://www.10tv.com/article/news/local/mayor-police-chief-release-video-addressing-ice-operations-columbus/530-84a4b4f4-aefb-43e4-81a6-0b8a1633566f.

6. WOSU, ‘Reports of increased ICE activity spark response from Columbus city officials and police,’ December 18, 2025, https://www.wosu.org/politics-government/2025-12-18/reports-of-increased-ice-activity-spark-response-from-columbus-city-officials-and-police.

7. WCMH/NBC4, ‘Columbus mayor, police chief respond to ICE deployment,’ December 18, 2025, https://www.nbc4i.com/news/local-news/columbus/columbus-mayor-police-chief-release-statement-regarding-ice-deployment/.

8. USA TODAY / The Columbus Dispatch, ‘Mayor says ICE operations in Columbus won’t turn city into “vehicle of fear”,’ December 18, 2025, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/local/2025/12/18/ice-raids-in-columbus-ohio-mayor-police-chief-respond-to-claims/87813200007/.

9. USA TODAY (Cincinnati Enquirer), ‘DHS removes “sanctuary jurisdictions” list that included Columbus,’ June 2, 2025, https://ftw.usatoday.com/story/news/local/2025/06/02/dhs-removes-sanctuary-jurisdictions-list-that-included-columbus/83990702007/.

10. WOSU (AP), ‘List of “sanctuary jurisdictions” removed from federal government website following criticism,’ June 2, 2025, https://www.wosu.org/politics-government/2025-06-02/list-of-sanctuary-jurisdictions-removed-from-federal-government-website-following-criticism.

11. Spectrum News 1 (AP), ‘List of “sanctuary jurisdictions” removed from U.S. government website,’ June 1, 2025, https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/politics/2025/06/01/list-of–sanctuary-jurisdictions–removed-from-u-s–government-website.

12. U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Public Affairs, ‘Justice Department Publishes List of Sanctuary Jurisdictions,’ August 5, 2025, https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-publishes-list-sanctuary-jurisdictions.

13. National Institute of Justice, ‘Undocumented Immigrant Offending Rate Lower Than U.S.-Born Citizen Rate,’ September 12, 2024; congressional copy: https://docs.house.gov/meetings/JU/JU01/20250122/117827/HHRG-119-JU01-20250122-SD004.pdf.

14. Migration Policy Institute, ‘Immigrants and Crime in the United States (Explainer),’ October 2024, https://www.migrationpolicy.org/sites/default/files/publications/mpi-explainer-immigration-crime-2024_final.pdf.

15. Northwestern Now, ‘Immigrants are significantly less likely to commit crimes than the U.S.-born,’ March 12, 2024, https://news.northwestern.edu/stories/2024/03/immigrants-are-significantly-less-likely-to-commit-crimes-than-the-us-born.

16. WOSU, ‘Columbus homicides down mid-way through 2025 as U.S. expects steep drop nationwide,’ July 1, 2025, https://www.wosu.org/news/2025-07-01/columbus-homicides-down-mid-way-through-2025-as-u-s-expects-steep-drop-nationwide.

17. Bailey Gallion, ‘Columbus homicides drop to historic levels in early 2025,’ The Columbus Dispatch, May 4, 2025, https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/crime/2025/05/04/columbus-homicides-murders-drop-to-historic-levels-in-early-2025/83406673007/.

18. Shahid Meighan, ‘Homicide total in Columbus falls below 100 for 2025,’ USA TODAY / The Columbus Dispatch, December 17, 2025, https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/local/2025/12/17/homicide-victims-momcc-columbus-2025/87814313007/.

19. Cole Behrens, ‘Columbus schools issue warning amid heightened concern over possible ICE activity,’ The Columbus Dispatch, December 18, 2025, https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/education/2025/12/18/columbus-schools-warn-parents-about-possible-ice-activity/87830542007/.

20. OPB/NPR, ‘How Minnesota became a hub for Somali immigrants in the U.S.,’ December 4, 2025, https://www.opb.org/article/2025/12/04/minnesota-somali-population/.

21. PBS NewsHour (AP), ‘5 things to know about the Somali community in Minnesota after Trump’s attacks,’ December 3, 2025, https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/5-things-to-know-about-the-somali-community-in-minnesota-after-trumps-attacks.

22. The Columbus Dispatch, ‘What is ICE doing in Columbus? What we know as of Friday Dec. 19, December 19, 2025, https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/local/2025/12/19/what-is-ice-doing-in-columbus-what-we-know-as-of-friday-dec-19/87844272007/.

Bibliography

Hendrickson, Samantha. ‘Non-English languages are increasing in Columbus, recent data show.’ The Columbus Dispatch. June 27, 2025.

Migration Policy Institute. ‘Immigrants and Crime in the United States.’ October 2024.

National Institute of Justice. ‘Undocumented Immigrant Offending Rate Lower Than U.S.-Born Citizen Rate.’ September 12, 2024.

Neilsberg. ‘Somali Population in Ohio by City: 2025 Ranking & Insights.’ Updated October 1, 2025.

Neilsberg. ‘Somali Population in Franklin County, OH by City.’ Updated October 1, 2025.

Ohio Department of Job & Family Services. ‘Refugee Arrivals.’ 2024.

OPB/NPR. ‘How Minnesota became a hub for Somali immigrants in the U.S.’ December 4, 2025.

PBS NewsHour/AP. ‘5 things to know about the Somali community in Minnesota after Trump’s attacks.’ December 3, 2025.

USA TODAY / The Columbus Dispatch. ‘Mayor says ICE operations in Columbus won’t turn city into “vehicle of fear”.’ December 18, 2025.

WBNS 10TV. ‘Mayor, police chief address reported ICE operations in Columbus.’ December 18, 2025.

WOSU. ‘Reports of increased ICE activity spark response from Columbus city officials and police.’ December 18, 2025.

WOSU. ‘Columbus homicides down mid-way through 2025 as U.S. expects steep drop nationwide.’ July 1, 2025.

The Columbus Dispatch. ‘Columbus homicides drop to historic levels in early 2025.’ May 4, 2025.

USA TODAY / The Columbus Dispatch. ‘Homicide total in Columbus falls below 100 for 2025.’ December 17, 2025.

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=2070

Nick Fuentes Picked a Fight with the Heavyweight, Vivek Ramaswamy: And he’ll get his teeth knocked out and his jaw broke, just like Jake Paul–but he’ll be rich

Jake Paul’s recent fight with Anthony Joshua is the perfect illustration of what happens when spectacle replaces substance. Paul, a YouTube celebrity with millions of followers, stepped into the ring against a world-class heavyweight—a man with Olympic gold and years of professional dominance. The pre-fight theatrics were designed to sell the drama, but anyone who understood boxing knew the outcome was inevitable. Paul fought briefly, suffered a broken jaw in two places, and left the arena humiliated in front of tens of millions of viewers. Yet, for him, the payday—reportedly $92 million—made the beating worthwhile. It was never about winning; it was about monetizing attention, even at the cost of personal dignity.

In many ways, that’s exactly what Nick Fuentes is doing with his attacks on Vivek Ramaswamy and, by extension, the MAGA movement. Vivek is the Trump-endorsed candidate for Ohio governor, a heavyweight in political terms, and Nick is trying to build his brand by picking a fight he cannot win. The goal isn’t policy or principle—it’s clicks, donations, and notoriety. Like Paul, Fuentes is willing to take a beating if it means short-term gains. But compromising integrity for a few bucks is a dangerous trade. Real influence comes from credibility, not shock-jock theatrics, and when the dust settles, Vivek will be fine. Nick, on the other hand, risks being remembered as the guy who sold his future for a viral moment.

Before we get lost in the weeds on Nick and the “war” he’s trying to gin up against Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio, the first thing to understand is that this is a publicity grab, a brand‑building exercise in the attention economy dressed up as a crusade. Tucker Carlson’s long sit‑down with Nick dropped late October 2025 and lit up the right for weeks—not because Nick said anything new, but because platforming him without hard pushback sparked a visible fracture among conservatives: Shapiro condemned the interview as “normalizing” a Hitler apologist, Heritage’s president defended Tucker as a free‑speech stand, and even Senate Republicans openly rebuked the tone and content. That intra‑movement rift is real, it’s documented, and it tells you what lane Nick is driving in: controversy converts to cash. 12345

When Nick went on Piers Morgan Uncensored in December 2025, he doubled down—“Hitler was very f***ing cool,” he said, shrugging off historical atrocity with aesthetic fanboy talk about uniforms and parades. That wasn’t clipped speculation; it aired, it was challenged in real time, and it produced the predictable outrage cycle. He also conceded “at least six million” Jews were killed, but framed Holocaust memory as a mechanism to browbeat white Christians—a rhetorical move that’s been part of his pattern: push past decency, trivialize mass murder, court the shock. The point isn’t whether he “means” it; the point is that publicly saying it pays in a donor‑driven creator market. 678

And sure, people will ask how a 27‑ or 28‑year‑old ends up with this microphone. There’s a timeline: Unite the Right 2017, Groyper wars harassing mainstream conservative events in 2019, deplatforming cycles from YouTube for hate speech, and then re‑ascendance on platforms willing to host him; he even turned up at Mar‑a‑Lago in November 2022 when Ye (Kanye) brought him to dinner with Trump—a fiasco the former president later said he didn’t foresee. That dinner is a hinge in the public memory; it proved how oxygen flows to extremism when spectacle meets lax vetting. 910111213

Now, does Nick hurt Vivek in Ohio? No—he helps him by contrast. Ohio 2026 is shaping up as Ramaswamy vs. Acton, and the fundamentals are what they are: Vivek’s cash advantage, statewide endorsements, and consolidated GOP backing set the terrain; Acton’s own story is COVID‑era and compassion‑branded, but even Gov. DeWine has publicly said those shutdown decisions were his, not hers—undercutting the “Lockdown Lady” moniker his party uses.  Because, DeWine is really a Democrat, and Amy was his girl.  On balance, the race is competitive in public polling but leans Republican in a red‑trending Ohio; when the smoke clears, voters will choose jobs, affordability, and competence over influencer theatrics. That’s why a shock‑jock swipe from Nick won’t move the needle—it hardens a tiny niche while most Ohioans tune out the performative nihilism. 141516171819

And here’s the part nobody wants to say out loud: this is a business model. The pundit economy rewards dopamine spikes—outrage, taboo, transgression—because creator monetization has shifted from legacy ad rails to direct fan funding. Platforms like Rumble now integrate Bitcoin tipping (with Tether) so audiences can spray micro‑payments across controversial content in seconds. You don’t need brand safety; you need attention. That’s why “Hitler is cool” becomes an economic lever: it draws fire, it drives views, it pulls in tips from an aggrieved subculture that feels ignored by institutions. In this incentive structure, “being unhinged” is not a bug; it’s a feature. 202122

So, the math here is straightforward. Nick’s short‑term revenue maximizes by attacking Trump‑aligned figures like Vivek; it creates a pseudo‑rebellion narrative (“I speak the truths your gatekeepers won’t”), harvests donations, and inflates his standing with under‑30 males who see no path in a culture saturated with porn, atomized dating markets, and collapsing family formation—all frustrations he riffs on. But that same strategy destroys long‑term trust and any real governing coalition. Tucker’s interview gave Nick oxygen; Shapiro’s response—and the broader backlash—marked the boundary lines of mainstream conservatism. Vivek will do well to stay above it, keep on policy‑first, and connect with Ohio’s economy and families, and let the theatrics burn themselves out. That contrast, in the end, will decide everything. 3235

I’ll add one more note because I’ve lived this choice set: taking money and chasing the algorithm means someone else owns your argument. Independent voices who refuse the pay‑to‑play goose—whether that’s bot‑inflated follower counts or crypto tip farms—give up the easy ego pop in exchange for credibility with serious people who need facts, not theatrics. In Ohio, facts look like campaign filings, union endorsements crossing over, county‑by‑county organizing, and policy planks about taxes, education, and industry. That’s where Vivek is playing. That’s where this race will be decided. 1516

 While Vivek Ramaswamy will be fine in Ohio—his strategy is solid, his Trump endorsement is strong—he could easily swat away Nick Fuentes by pointing to the Jake Paul fight as a metaphor. Picking a fight with a heavyweight when you’re clearly outmatched is reckless, and Nick’s attempt to derail Vivek’s campaign is no different. It’s a stunt, not a strategy, and it will fail.

But here’s the deeper truth Nick is tapping into: the rise of a disenfranchised generation. Under‑30 men are angry, disconnected, and increasingly unwilling to pursue marriage or family because they see the culture as broken—porn saturation, hookup norms, and progressive narratives have eroded trust. Nick speaks to that frustration, and that’s why his voice resonates even when his tactics are self‑destructive. This is the future of media and politics: decentralized, unfiltered, and without institutional guardrails. Legacy platforms can’t contain it, and the genie isn’t going back in the bottle. Even when Vivek wins and MAGA thrives for now, the next wave will be shaped by these angry young men who feel robbed of a normal life—and commentators like Nick will only grow louder in that vacuum.

Footnotes

1. Tucker Carlson’s interview with Nick Fuentes published Oct. 27, 2025; episode listings and YouTube analytics confirm timing and reach. 12

2. Coverage of the interview’s fallout and intra‑GOP rift (Heritage defense; Shapiro’s critique; Senate Republicans’ reactions). 345

3. Piers Morgan interview (Dec. 8–9, 2025) where Fuentes said “Hitler was very f***ing cool”; additional reportage on his Holocaust remarks. 687

4. Fuentes background and extremism timeline: Unite the Right, Groyper wars, deplatforming, ideological positions. 9

5. Mar‑a‑Lago dinner (Nov. 22–25, 2022) with Ye and Fuentes; Trump’s later statements on not recognizing Fuentes. 10111213

6. Ohio 2026 overview: Ramaswamy’s fundraising and endorsements; Acton’s profile; DeWine clarifying COVID decisions. 141516171819

7. Creator‑economy monetization and Rumble’s Bitcoin tipping integration (Tether partnership; rollout timing). 202122

8. Shapiro’s extended takedown of Tucker/Fuentes; the boundary between mainstream conservatism and the groyper fringe. 235

Selected Bibliography

• Tucker Carlson x Nick Fuentes: “Tucker Carlson Interviews Nick Fuentes” (Podchaser listing, Oct. 27, 2025); “Tucker Carlson Interviews Nick Fuentes” (YouTube). 12

• Intra‑movement rift: USA TODAY analysis of interview fallout; POLITICO on Shapiro’s critique and Heritage backlash; Fox News coverage of the AmericaFest sparring. 345

• Piers Morgan interview: The Independent, Jewish Telegraphic Agency, and The Forward reports on Fuentes’ Hitler comments and Holocaust remarks (Dec. 2025). 687

• Mar‑a‑Lago dinner (2022): USA TODAY, NBC News, ABC News, POLITICO accounts and Trump’s statement. 10111213

• Ohio 2026: Cleveland Scene and Columbus Underground on fundraising and endorsements; Acton campaign site; NBC4 on DeWine’s COVID responsibility remarks; Ohio Capital Journal profile. 1415241718

• Creator monetization: Cointelegraph and industry reports on Rumble’s Bitcoin tipping rollout and Tether partnership. 20

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=2070

The Cause of the Affordability Crisis: Managed economies and political interventions have destroyed cost structures

The truth about affordability, because that’s the tired drumbeat the Left will pound all the way into 2026: “prices are high, blame the billionaire.” It’s the same old class-war script—paint the rich guy as out of touch, pretend the pain at the pump and the grocery store fell from the sky, and hope voters forget who built the scaffolding for that pain. The truth is, affordability has roots—deep, structural roots—in policy choices that take years to unwind. Unwinding is slow; rebuilding competitive markets is slower; letting innovation breathe is slower still. But it happens. And when it happens—especially around energy and health care—you feel it first in the path of prices, then in the path of opportunity. That’s the meat and potatoes of the issue that everyone needs to understand as we go forward.

Starting with health care because it’s so grotesquely obvious—the Democrats’ favorite talking point and, paradoxically, their favorite controlled market. What the public senses as “expensive care” is really an industry whose cost structure is defended by regulation, protected monopolies, and financial engineering that prioritizes jobs and margin over cures. Just look at the macro: national health expenditures reached roughly $4.9 trillion in 2023—17.6% of GDP—and blew past $5 trillion in 2024, with CMS projecting the health share of the economy could hit 20.3% by 2033. That’s not me speculating; it’s the official actuaries. They estimate spending growth of 8.2% in 2024 and 7.1% in 2025—outpacing GDP—driven by rising utilization and coverage levels. 1234 You don’t need a PhD in economics to hear what that says: health care, as currently constituted, is set on an upward cost glide path that eats the economy.

Dig beneath the top line, and you find what patients feel: hospitals posted double-digit spending growth in 2023; physician services accelerated; prescription drugs jumped more than 11% in 2023 alone. 1 These are not isolated blips—they’re part of a financing machine that has learned to monetize chronic decline. It’s the difference between maintaining weakness for revenue and making patients truly well, which would shrink the revenue base. That philosophical choice drives both policy and practice.

Layer in the private‑equity wave. In health care, PE ownership has expanded rapidly across hospitals, specialty practices, nursing homes, and ancillaries. Systematic reviews in BMJ and updates from Wharton’s HMPI synthesize dozens of empirical studies and repeatedly find what clinicians and patients suspect: PE ownership is most consistently associated with higher costs to patients or payers and mixed-to-harmful impacts on quality. Staffing skews downward, administrative pressure increases, and the exit horizon is 3–7 years, with debt piled onto the acquired entity. 56 Even JAMA’s coverage of the evidence lands in the same place: higher costs, quality concerns. 7 Now, to be fair, not every PE hospital outcome is catastrophic; a late‑2025 research brief found no excess closures and cost-cutting concentrated in admin rather than core medicine, though patient satisfaction dipped. 8 But the through‑line is unmistakable: financialization has bridged into care delivery, and the pass-through is inflationary for payers and patients. When you lace debt service, management fees, and rapid roll-up incentives on top of already rising unit costs, affordability dies by a thousand cuts.

And we haven’t even touched the bigger affordability architecture—consolidation and financialization across supply chains. Ten years ago, lean shops squeezed costs by owning their processes and competing in open markets. Today, in many sectors—manufacturing, food processing, distribution—the playbook is add-on acquisitions, platform roll-ups, and fee-driven intermediaries. Private equity has poured roughly $262 billion into U.S. manufacturing firms since 2020, explicitly to consolidate and “unlock value at speed,” while debt financing has been layered into an already fragile logistics environment. 910 The National Economic Council’s 2021–2024 Quadrennial Supply Chain Review lays it out in sober terms: critical chains—from energy components to pharmaceuticals and agri‑food—were brittle, policy‑distorted, and subject to non-market practices that amplified shocks. 11

Why should voters care about that alphabet soup of capital and supply chain policy? Because the price on your shelf has a genealogy. COVID made that visible; economists at Brookings argue that the inflation shock was largely supply-driven, with long lags as delivery times normalized and margins reset—proving that what breaks upstream ripples downstream for years. 12 The Richmond Fed estimates that about half of a disruption’s total effect comes from amplification through the supply network; shocks abroad propagate into U.S. GDP and inflation, and re-shoring, redundancy, and inventory carry real cost. 13 Translation: if you replace diversified mom‑and‑pop networks with concentrated platforms, then hit those platforms with a once-in-a-century shock and policy friction, you get sticker shock that doesn’t vanish overnight.

Then there are the minimum wage mandates, which I warned about a decade ago when Democrats pushed for them and which, mainly, got what they wanted during Covid—the bottom-up piece of the affordability puzzle. The Left sells them as “free money,” then acts surprised when menus and price tags jump. The CPI tells a straightforward story: food away from home rose 3.6% in 2024, outpacing grocery inflation, and industry groups show menu prices still rising into late 2025. 1415 CNBC put a fine point on limited-service meals: almost 28% price growth from 2019 to 2023—well above the overall CPI—driven in part by labor cost increases that chains passed on to customers, especially in high-mandate states. 16 The academic literature fills in the mechanism. Recent meta-analysis estimates a 0.03–0.11 price elasticity to minimum wage changes—meaning a 10% hike produces roughly 0.3–1.1% price increases, bigger in labor-intensive sectors like restaurants. 17 NBER and Upjohn surveys show mixed employment effects but clear evidence of slower job growth and hours adjustments over time, with price pass-through in narrow industries. 1819 And when wage floors leap in gig delivery, the “unintended consequences” are no longer theoretical; a 2025 NBER working paper tracking Seattle’s 2024 ordinance found base pay doubled per task, but tips and order volume fell, netting out the gains for most active drivers within a month while delivery costs popped and idle time rose. 20 All that flows straight into the affordability experience at the counter. If your value meal used to be $5 and now feels like $10, it’s not imaginary—the chain is absorbing higher mandated labor costs, higher input volatility, and a consolidated middleman layer that taxes every step. The macro data confirm the sting: food prices rose 2.5% overall in 2024, but restaurant inflation was higher, and eggs, beef, and insurance were outliers. 14

The other pillar in the affordability conversation is energy—because it feeds trucks, ships, harvesters, ovens, and heat. Here’s some good news: U.S. oil production set records through 2024 and 2025, with the EIA projecting record crude and gas output in 2025, and AAA reports December 2025 gasoline averages around $2.89 nationally—the cheapest December since 2020. That’s not partisan; that’s a supply reality. 212223 The EIA’s Short‑Term Energy Outlook expects Brent to settle near $55/bbl through 2026 as inventories rise, while dry gas production continues climbing. 24 In plain English: drilling and efficiency gains—especially in the Permian—have kept domestic supply high and prices stable, muting one of the biggest drivers of household pain. 25 So when we say a pro‑production posture affects affordability, this is the line we draw: more barrels and cubic feet, fewer spikes at the pump, cheaper freight, easier input cost for food and goods.

Affordability isn’t “high versus low prices in a vacuum.” It’s the architecture of how costs stack up: energy feeds logistics; logistics feed input prices; input prices feed menus and store shelves; health care premiums drain the checking account regardless. If your cost stack is built on regulated scarcity, consolidated intermediaries, debt‑service layers, and mandated wage floors, you’ve engineered inflation. If you reverse the stack—by increasing supply (energy), rebuilding distributed ownership (manufacturing and ag), and unleashing cures (health)—you engineer disinflation. And yes, it has a lag because capital redeployments and networks re-route over quarters, not weeks.

Now, about health care’s future—the part that sounds disruptive because it is. The frontier is not the following billing code; it’s gene editing, cellular regeneration, and targeted micro‑devices that fix the plumbing without cracking open the chest. CRISPR-based therapies have already crossed the FDA threshold for specific indications, signaling that programmable biology isn’t science fiction anymore, though current price points are eye-watering and regulatory guardrails are tight. 26 Stem cell advances proceed unevenly under FDA frameworks, but the pipeline is real, and the durability of regenerative approaches changes the calculus on chronic disease costs. 27 As for “nanobots in arteries,” let’s be scientifically precise: at present, that’s experimental vision—nanotechnology for targeted delivery and plaque management is under research, but widespread, approved deployment in the U.S. is still a few years away, as in 2030. The trajectory, however, is toward minimally invasive, programmable interventions that obviate today’s expensive, labor-intensive procedures. If you strip the hype and ask, “What happens to costs if cures replace maintenance?” the answer is radical deflation in medical services that today require giant physical plants, armies of staff, and recurring billing. The only things stopping acceleration are policy acceptance and risk-tolerant frameworks that protect patients while allowing innovation to scale.

That leads to the tricky question: do we design a system that keeps people sick slowly—so the machine gets paid—or do we create a system that heals fast, and then reallocates labor to growth sectors like space, advanced manufacturing, and AI-enabled industrials? We can’t flip that switch in two months. If you liberated regenerative and gene therapies tomorrow without adjusting reimbursement and licensure, you’d displace millions of jobs and crash legacy revenue streams. But over a decade, with clear lanes for innovation and targeted transition support, you can migrate human capital to sectors that compound prosperity—what I call the “space economy” and adjacent fields—so people live longer, healthier lives and earn across extended productive spans. Morgan Stanley and others project trillion-dollar trajectories in space-enabled services, manufacturing, and communications; the point isn’t the exact number, it’s the labor shift: from managing decline to building frontiers. 28

Affordability also lives in the home. Property taxes are the most visible local lever, and they’ve been creeping up. ATTOM’s national analysis finds the average single-family property tax bill rose about 5–6% in 2024 to roughly $4,300, while effective rates ticked slightly down as home values rebounded. The press summary in early 2025 pegged average bills around $4,172 and highlighted regional variance, with Northeast/Midwest rates higher. Different methodologies, same lived experience: homeowners feel the pinch. 2930 AAA talks about gas as one side of the ledger; property taxes are the other, especially in school-heavy budgets. The Lincoln Institute’s state-by-state comparison shows effective rates are a function of reliance on property tax, home values, and spending levels, with Detroit at the high end and Honolulu at the low end for homestead effective rates. Assessment limits can shift burdens onto new buyers—a silent affordability killer. 31 Economists even argue that higher property taxes can—counterintuitively—reduce entry prices and reallocate homeownership toward younger families by capitalizing the tax burden into lower upfront costs, though that shifts pain onto older and low-income owners. 32 My point isn’t that one tax tweak fixes affordability; it’s that you can’t jack up wages, ignore supply, and raise local levies without squeezing families from three directions. If wages must rise for entry-level dignity, then energy, health, and taxes must fall—or the squeeze is intolerable. That’s arithmetic.

Ask yourself: who broke the affordability architecture? Food-at-home inflation cooled in 2024—USDA pegs it at around 1.2%—because some inputs normalized after supply shocks, yet restaurants remained pricier because labor and overhead didn’t normalize. Eggs spiked again on disease resurgence; beef rose on low cattle inventories. 33 Meanwhile, gasoline trended down year‑over‑year into late 2025; the national average sat below $3 by December. 2223 None of that aligns with the “blame the billionaire” slogan. It aligns with policy levers: energy supply, wage mandates, consolidation rules, and the health care financing model.

So when critics sneer, “What does a billionaire know about affordability?” the answer is: affordability isn’t about your bank account, it’s about whether you understand the machine. In 2017-2019, we saw what pro-production energy, plus regulatory breathing room, can do—pump prices stabilized, and freight costs fell. In 2024‑2026, EIA projections show strong domestic output and soft global prices—potential tailwinds if you don’t throttle drilling or overregulate pipelines. 2124 In the next three to five years, health innovation could begin to bend the cost curve—but only if you let it. And over the same window, you can chip away at consolidation by encouraging distributed ownership, limiting fee extraction, and restoring competitive procurement in sectors like aerospace and ag.

Agriculture is instructive. USDA reports 1.89 million farms in 2023—down slightly—with land in farms also down and acreage concentrating in high‑sales classes. In 2023, farms with $500,000+ in sales operated roughly half of all farmland—a consolidation pattern built over decades. 34 ERS’s historical work shows crop acreage shifting persistently toward larger operations; livestock consolidation has been episodic but dramatic in some lines. 3536 Production expenditures climbed to about $482 billion in 2023, with feed, labor, and services dominating the cost share. 37 That’s not a mom-and-pop landscape; it’s an industrial farm economy whose cost base moves with energy, labor, and finance. If you push mandates and taxes up while tolerating monopolized inputs, you get $6 milk and $10 burgers.

Affordability doesn’t fix itself in a quarter. It takes enthusiasm and patience—years, not months. In a MAGA-style agenda, you’d do three things at once: push energy to keep gasoline, diesel, and electricity stable; open lanes for regenerative medicine and gene therapy with reimbursement and safety frameworks that accelerate cures; and de-financialize chokepoints in supply chains by favoring private ownership, competition, and transparency over fee-stacked intermediaries. The lag effect is real. CMS projects health’s share of GDP rising, not falling, through 2033 under current assumptions; turning that curve requires more than rhetoric. 38 But you can feel affordability improve in the interim if energy and freight stay tame and food inflation stays cooled—as the 2024 numbers did. 1433

The choice at the center of health care affordability, because it’s moral as much as economic: do we maintain people’s weaknesses to preserve a sprawling, union-protected, fee-protected medical services empire, or do we make them strong again—knowing we must redeploy those workers into frontier industries? If you want the second outcome, embrace innovation and plan the transition. The space economy, industrials, AI-enabled maintenance, precision manufacturing—those aren’t sci-fi; they’re labor sinks ready to absorb talent. 28 You don’t solve affordability by berating billionaires; you solve it by designing an economy that doesn’t require families to hemorrhage cash for energy, food, and maintenance of decline.

Today’s gas is under $3 in many regions. 22 Food-at-home inflation cooled to near 1%. 33 Health spending is still climbing because we feed the maintenance machine. 1 Minimum wage hikes push menus higher, especially in limited‑service. 1617 Consolidation and financialization tax every step of the supply chain. 1110 Property taxes squeeze homeowners even as effective rates wobble with valuation cycles. 29 If you want affordability, you have to unwind the stack that made it scarce—and that takes leadership, authentic leadership that is very hard to get and takes a lot of guts to utilize.

Footnotes

1. National health expenditures and projections: CMS NHE Fact Sheet and analyses indicate $4.9T in 2023 (17.6% GDP); projected 8.2% spending growth in 2024 and continued gains through 2033 to ~20.3% of GDP. 123

2. 2023 component growth: hospital (+10.4%), physician services (+7.4%), prescription drugs (+11.4%). 1

3. PE in health care—cost and quality impacts: BMJ systematic review (2023); HMPI update (2024); JAMA coverage (2023). 567

4. PE hospitals: no excess closures; admin cost cuts; patient satisfaction decline. 8

5. Supply-driven inflation and lagged normalization: Brookings commentary (2024). 12

6. Supply chain shock amplification: Richmond Fed Economic Brief (2025). 13

7. Restaurant price dynamics: BLS CPI (2024 review); National Restaurant Association menu price notes (2025). 1415

8. Limited‑service price increases vs CPI: CNBC analysis (2019–2023). 16

9. Price pass-through elasticities from minimum wage hikes: meta-analysis (2025). 17

10. Seattle gig delivery minimum wage outcomes (2024–2025): NBER working paper coverage. 20

11. Energy production and prices: EIA STEO (Dec 2025), projections of record crude/gas; AAA national average ~$2.89 in Dec 2025; EIA weekly regional gasoline data. 24212223

12. U.S. oil production highs in 2025 (EIA/Reuters round-ups). 25

13. CRISPR therapy approvals and trajectory: FDA‑tracked approvals in 2023–2024; cost and regulation context. 26

14. Stem cell therapy/regulatory status: overviews and policy context. 27

15. Space economy outlooks and manufacturing metrics: NIST manufacturing report (2024) for macro context; industry projections. 28

16. Property tax trends: ATTOM 2024 analysis; Mortgage Professional America summary (2025); Lincoln Institute 50-state comparison; Minneapolis Fed analysis on property taxes and home prices. 29303132

17. Agriculture consolidation and expenditure trends: USDA NASS Farms and Land in Farms (2023); ERS “Three Decades of Consolidation”; AEI policy slides; NASS production expenditures (2023). 34353637

18. Food‑at‑home inflation easing in 2024; category specifics and 2025 outlook: USDA ERS Charts of Note. 33

Bibliography & Further Reading

• Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). “NHE Fact Sheet.” 1

• American Hospital Association summary of CMS projections (June 2025). 2

• Peter G. Peterson Foundation on health share of GDP. 3

• American Medical Association Policy Research Perspectives on NHE 2023. 4

• BMJ (2023). “Evaluating trends in private equity ownership…” 5

• HMPI (2024). “Update on impacts of PE ownership in health care.” 6

• JAMA (2023). “Private Equity Ownership in Health Care Linked to Higher Costs…” 7

• Cato Institute (2025). “Private Equity in the Hospital Industry.” 8

• Brookings (2024). “Lagged effects of COVID-19 supply chain disruptions.” 12

• Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2025). “Supply Chain Resilience and Shocks.” 13

• BLS. “Consumer Price Index: 2024 in review.” 14

• National Restaurant Association. “Menu Prices,” Dec 2025. 15

• CNBC (2024). “Why fast-food price increases have surpassed overall inflation.” 16

• NBER Working Paper (2024/2025 meta & surveys). 1839

• Jorge Pérez Pérez (2025). Meta-analysis on minimum wage and prices. 17

• Reason (summarizing NBER Seattle delivery study) (2025). 20

• EIA Short‑Term Energy Outlook (Dec 2025). 24

• Offshore Technology (Mar 2025). “EIA forecasts record US crude and gas production…” 21

• AAA Fuel Prices Newsroom (Dec 2025). 40

• EIA Gasoline & Diesel Update (Dec 2025). 23

• Pipeline & Gas Journal (Aug 2025). “U.S. Oil Production Hit Record High in June.” 25

• FDA-related coverage and analyses of CRISPR therapies (2023–2024). 26

• Health journalism on stem cell regulatory landscape (2025). 27

• NIST (2024). “Annual Report on the U.S. Manufacturing Economy.” 28

• ATTOM (Apr/Jul 2025). “2024 Property Tax Analysis.” 29

• Mortgage Professional America (Apr 2025). “US property tax bill jumped again in 2024.” 30

• Lincoln Institute (Jul 2025). “50-State Property Tax Comparison Study.” 31

• Minneapolis Fed (Nov 2024). “How higher property taxes increase home affordability.” 32

• USDA NASS (Feb/Jul 2024). Farms and Land in Farms; Production Expenditures. 3437

• USDA ERS (2018). “Three Decades of Consolidation in U.S. Agriculture.” 35

• AEI (Feb 2023). “Farm Consolidation: Three Implications for Farm Policy.” 36

• USDA ERS (Jan 2025). “Retail food price inflation subsided across most categories in 2024.” 33

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

Trump’s Marijuana Reclassification: Why It’s a Deal-Breaker

Trump did what he should not have done, and I can no longer support him the way I have for ten years.  It’s time for me to move on to other things and people. To put it mildly, we’re talking about a Tree of Knowledge of Eternal Life issue, where pot is the snake in the garden, trying to push humanity to eat from the Tree of Knowledge of Good and Evil.  God puts all these trees in the garden, but wants human beings to make free choices about what is best.  And this is one of those kinds of issues.   Can a plant be evil?  Sure, it can; the snakes of the world will, of course, say no.  

Donald Trump’s decision to reclassify marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III is, in my view, a catastrophic mistake. It’s not just a technical change—it’s an open door for the cannabis lobby and progressive forces that have been pushing for mass legalization under the guise of “medical necessity.” This move mirrors the same vulnerability Trump showed during COVID: trusting white-coat experts who present themselves as saviors while advancing agendas that weaken society.

Cannabis is not harmless. It’s a gateway drug, a cognitive depressant, and a cultural detriment. Studies link marijuana use to lower IQ, impaired memory, psychosis, and increased risk of schizophrenia. Emergency room visits and traffic fatalities spike in states after legalization. THC potency has skyrocketed, amplifying addiction and mental health crises. These aren’t fringe claims—they’re documented realities.

The argument that marijuana is needed for pain relief is a false choice. We should be solving cancer and chronic pain at the root, not normalizing an intoxicant tied to decades of social decay and, yes, deeper occult influences that seek to compromise human clarity and autonomy. Legalization advocates have always framed this as compassion, but the real goal is control: a dulled, compliant population.

Trump thinks this is an 85% approval issue. He sees polls, not principles. But leadership isn’t about chasing popularity—it’s about protecting civilization from corrosive forces. On this issue, he failed. For me, it’s a deal-killer. I’ve supported Trump for a decade, but endorsing marijuana—even under the medical banner—is embracing evil. Ohio’s recent rollback of legalization shows the right path: resist the progressive push, restore sanity. Donald Trump’s decision to reclassify marijuana isn’t just bad policy—it’s political deceit. He waited until the Christmas season to slide this under the door, the same way Obama did with Obamacare, hoping conservatives would be distracted. He announced it right after addressing the nation and during the release of the Epstein findings, burying the story behind bigger headlines. That’s not leadership; that’s manipulation.

Why? To appease his new left-leaning allies—the Kennedy health crowd and cannabis advocates who’ve been pushing this agenda for decades. Trump gave them a bone, thinking it would broaden his coalition. But in doing so, he embraced a cultural Trojan horse. And the enemies of our nation are hidden inside, clapping because they see in Trump a sucker they easily manipulated and turned into their weapon of doom.

This isn’t about being rigid; it’s about survival. Drugs erode minds, and compromised minds are easy to control. Trump got played, and America will pay the price if we don’t fight back. What follows may be heavy on the legal terminology and statistics. But the evidence is quite extensive, and for those who need further proof, well beyond just opinion, well, here it is:

On December 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump signed an executive order directing federal agencies to expedite the rescheduling of marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III under the Controlled Substances Act (CSA), the most consequential U.S. cannabis policy shift in over half a century (White House Fact Sheet, 2025; POLITICO, 2025). The action accelerates a process begun after the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recommended Schedule III in August 2023 and the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in May 2024 (CRS, 2023; DEA, 2024). While rescheduling may ease research constraints and alter tax treatment, it does not legalize recreational use nor eliminate associated public-health risks (POLITICO, 2025; All About Lawyer, 2025). But it is an open door to the pot advocates which is trying to ignore the evidence on neurocognitive outcomes, addiction epidemiology, psychosis risk, pediatric exposures and emergency presentations, and traffic safety to assess ethical and policy implications—using Ohio’s late-2025 legislative retrenchment as a case example (Ohio Capital Journal, 2025; Cincinnati Enquirer/USA Today, 2025).

President Trump’s order directs the Attorney General to complete rescheduling to Schedule III, aligning with HHS’s 2023 scientific review that recognized currently accepted medical uses for marijuana (White House Fact Sheet, 2025; CRS, 2023). Media and legal analyses concur that the order expedites but does not itself finalize DEA rulemaking—and thus does not legalize adult-use marijuana at the federal level (POLITICO, 2025; All About Lawyer, 2025). The DEA’s 2024 proposed rule explicitly states that even if marijuana moves to Schedule III, manufacture, distribution, and possession remain subject to applicable controls, and FDA drug-approval requirements still apply (DEA, 2024). At the same time, the executive order frames rescheduling as a research- and access-facilitating initiative (White House Fact Sheet, 2025).  Which I propose is a declining state of any nation, once that path is opened to public acceptance.

2.1 Longitudinal Evidence of Cognitive Decline, the Dunedin cohort (n≈1,037) provides prospective evidence: persistent cannabis use beginning in adolescence was associated with an average drop of ~8 IQ points between ages 13 and 38, with broad impairments in memory and executive functions; reductions were not fully reversed by cessation (Meier et al., 2012; Nature News, 2012).

2.2 Methodological Challenges and Confounding, critics argue that socioeconomic and familial confounders may explain part or all of the observed IQ decline, warning against strong causal claims from observational data (Rogeberg, 2012).

2.3 Consensus Reviews. Authoritative reviews conclude that regular adolescent use is associated with deficits in learning, attention, and memory, with stronger evidence for harms among youths (Volkow et al., 2014 NEJM).

Cannabis can lead to clinically significant use disorders. Classic estimates report ~9% dependence among experimenters, rising to ~17% for adolescent initiators and 25–50% for daily users (Volkow et al., 2014). JAMA Psychiatry analyses found that past-year marijuana use doubled from 4.1% (2001–2002) to 9.5% (2012–2013), and nearly 3 in 10 users met criteria for a marijuana use disorder; overall past-year cannabis use disorder prevalence reached ~2.8% of U.S. adults (Hasin et al., 2015; Columbia Mailman School release, 2015). Prospective U.S. data link baseline cannabis use to elevated odds of subsequent alcohol, cannabis, other drug use disorders, and nicotine dependence, even when adjusting for extensive confounders (Blanco et al., 2016).

Case-control and multicenter studies associate daily use—especially of high-potency cannabis—with substantially higher odds of first-episode psychosis (adjusted OR ≈3.2 for daily use; ≈4.8 for daily high-potency), and estimate population-attributable fractions up to ~30% in London and ~50% in Amsterdam under high-potency exposure scenarios (Di Forti et al., 2019; King’s College London, 2019). Danish nationwide registry analyses (n>7 million) report that the fraction of schizophrenia cases attributable to cannabis use disorder rose from ~2% (mid-1990s) to ~6–8% since 2010; among young males, PARF estimates reach ~15% by 2021 (Hjorthøj et al., 2021; Hjorthøj et al., 2023). Critiques caution that genetic and environmental confounding may inflate causal interpretations; however, registry time-trend analyses and sensitivity checks strengthen the case that rising potency and heavy use contribute materially (Gillespie et al., 2019; ESPE Yearbook summary, 2022).

Following legalization in Colorado, pediatric poison-center calls and hospital visits for marijuana exposures increased, with edibles frequently implicated; rates roughly doubled in hospital data and quintupled in poison-center reports from 2009 to 2015 (Wang et al., 2016 JAMA Pediatrics; ScienceDaily, 2016). Subsequent analyses through 2017 confirmed continued increases despite packaging reforms (Clinical Pediatrics, 2019). Recent U.S. pediatric hospital-system data (2016–2023) show sharp rises in adolescent cannabinoid hyperemesis syndrome (CHS) emergency-department encounters, with higher rates in recreational-legal states, though increases occur in both legal and non-legal settings (Toce et al., 2025).

Meta-analyses indicate that acute cannabis use is associated with increased motor-vehicle crash risk—approximately 1.2–1.9 times higher odds overall, with stronger associations in fatal collisions and case-control designs; combined alcohol and THC further magnifies risk (Asbridge et al., 2012 BMJ; Rogeberg & Elvik, 2016 Addiction). Updated reviews summarize impairments in reaction time, attention, and lane keeping, and recommend conservative post-use waiting windows (≈6–8 hours inhaled; ≈8–12 hours oral) (Cannabis Evidence, 2025).

In December 2025, Ohio enacted SB 56, banning most intoxicating hemp outside licensed dispensaries, vetoing THC beverages, lowering THC caps, criminalizing possession of products purchased in other states, and tightening public-use rules—changes framed as child-safety and regulatory harmonization (Ohio Capital Journal, 2025; Cincinnati Enquirer/USA Today, 2025). Reporting notes that the law rolls back portions of the voter-approved 2023 statute (Issue 2) and may trigger legal and political challenges (WLWT, 2025; NORML, 2025). Ohio’s trajectory exemplifies how states recalibrate post-legalization to address pediatric exposures, product potency, interstate transport, and community norms (Statehouse News Bureau, 2025; APA Ohio summary of Issue 2, 2023).

Respect for autonomy is constrained by predictable harms to minors, vulnerable populations, and public safety. The empirical record—rising adolescent CHS encounters, increased unintentional pediatric ingestions, measurable crash-risk elevations, and signals linking heavy/high-potency use to psychosis—supports precautionary regulation even as research into therapeutic cannabinoids proceeds (Toce et al., 2025; Wang et al., 2016; Asbridge et al., 2012; Di Forti et al., 2019).

• Age-targeted prevention and potency controls: Restrict high-potency products for adolescents and young adults; fund longitudinal potency-exposure surveillance (Di Forti et al., 2019; Hjorthøj et al., 2023).

• Packaging, retail, and home-storage safeguards: Enforce child-resistant, opaque packaging; limit candy-like edibles; and conduct statewide campaigns on home storage (Wang et al., 2016; Clinical Pediatrics, 2019).

• Clinical readiness for CHS and psychosis: Resource EDs with CHS protocols; ensure early detection and treatment pathways for cannabis-associated psychosis, especially for young males (Toce et al., 2025; Hjorthøj et al., 2023).

• Impaired-driving enforcement and guidance: Invest in drug-recognition training, public messaging on waiting windows post-use, and integrated alcohol-THC deterrence strategies (Asbridge et al., 2012; Rogeberg & Elvik, 2016).

• Research integrity post-rescheduling: Use Schedule III easing to fund randomized trials and mechanistic studies; maintain transparency about limitations of observational data (White House Fact Sheet, 2025; CRS, 2023).

Rescheduling marijuana to Schedule III is a structural change that may boost research and alter industry economics—but epidemiologic signals argue for a prudential approach prioritizing youth protection, potency regulation, impaired-driving prevention, and clinical readiness for CHS and psychosis. The Ohio experience demonstrates that, after initial liberalization, states often recalibrate to safeguard public health. Policymakers should balance putative benefits against quantifiable risks, keeping protection of the vulnerable at the center of cannabis governance (Ohio Capital Journal, 2025).

The data piles on: youth brain changes from cannabis are lasting, altering connectivity in executive networks and reducing hippocampal volume.[11] Gateway effects, though debated, show associations where cannabis precedes harder drugs in sequences, with some studies finding fivefold increases in likelihood.[12] Societal costs mount—emergency visits for hyperemesis and psychoses rise, impaired driving fatalities involving THC climb post-legalization, and cognitive deficits compound into lifelong disadvantages.  So, in many ways, marijuana is a gateway drug, in whatever form it’s presented, to a declining civilization, and a condition of individual integrity.  The medical profession should be ending cancer, not yielding to it with pain relief.  The goal should be to correct sickness, not bend the knee to pain and suffering.  We should be eating from the Tree of Eternal Life.  Trump got bit by the snake of deception here, and for me, it’s the off-ramp to continued support.  I’ve stood by Trump on everything for over ten years, and more.  But now, it’s time for all that to come to an end, over this issue.  Because for me, there is no compromise with evil.  Under any form that it presents itself.  And marijuana under any form that its presented is evil.  There are no blurred lines of consideration.  Trump got suckered by the same kind of people in the medical profession who suckered him on Covid.  And that isn’t forgivable.

Appendix: Cannabis Impact Metrics (Selected)

MetricFindingPopulation/StudyKey Citation
IQ decline (adolescent-onset, persistent)~8 points from 13 to 38; broad deficitsDunedin cohort (n≈1,037)Meier et al., 2012; Nature News, 2012
Cannabis use disorder prevalence≈2.8% past-year adults; ~30% of users with CUDNESARC 2012–2013; national surveysHasin et al., 2015; Volkow et al., 2014
Psychosis risk (daily, high-potency)Adj. OR ≈4.8; PAF up to 30–50% in some citiesEU-GEI multicenter case-controlDi Forti et al., 2019
Schizophrenia PARF (young males)~15% in 2021; rising since 1990sDenmark registry >7MHjorthøj et al., 2023; 2021
Pediatric exposures (Colorado)Hospital rate ~2×; RPC calls ~5× increaseColorado 2009–2015Wang et al., 2016; ScienceDaily, 2016
Adolescent CHS ED encountersRates rose sharply 2016–2023PHIS database, adolescentsToce et al., 2025
Driving crash risk (acute use)OR ≈1.2–1.9; higher with alcohol co-useMeta-analyses 1982–2015Asbridge et al., 2012; Rogeberg & Elvik, 2016

References

Asbridge, M., et al. (2012). Acute cannabis consumption and motor vehicle collision risk: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ, 344:e536. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.e536

Blanco, C., Hasin, D. S., Wall, M. M., et al. (2016). Cannabis Use and Risk of Psychiatric Disorders: Prospective Evidence. JAMA Psychiatry, 73(4), 388–395. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2015.3229

CRS (2023). HHS Recommendation to Reschedule Marijuana. IN12240. https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/IN/PDF/IN12240/IN12240.1.pdf

DEA (2024). Schedules of Controlled Substances: Rescheduling of Marijuana (NPRM). https://www.dea.gov/sites/default/files/2024-05/Scheduling%20NPRM%20508.pdf

Di Forti, M., et al. (2019). Contribution of cannabis use to variation in psychotic disorder incidence across Europe. The Lancet Psychiatry, 6(5), 427–436. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2215-0366(19)30048-3

ESPE Yearbook (2022). Development over time of PARF for CUD in schizophrenia in Denmark. https://www.espeyearbook.org/ey/0019/ey0019.14-8

Gillespie, N. A., et al. (2019). High-potency cannabis and incident psychosis: correcting the causal assumption. The Lancet Psychiatry, 6(6), 464–465.

Hjorthøj, C., et al. (2021). Development Over Time of PARF for CUD in Schizophrenia in Denmark. JAMA Psychiatry, 78(9), 1013–1019. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2021.1471

Hjorthøj, C., et al. (2023). Association between CUD and schizophrenia stronger in young males. Psychological Medicine. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/psychological-medicine/article/association-between-cannabis-use-disorder-and-schizophrenia-stronger-in-young-males-than-in-females/E1F8F0E09C6541CB8529A326C3641A68

King’s College London (2019). High potency cannabis linked to higher rates of psychosis. https://www.kcl.ac.uk/archive/news/ioppn/records/2019/march/high-potency-cannabis-linked-to-higher-rates-of-psychosis

Meier, M. H., et al. (2012). Persistent cannabis users show neuropsychological decline from childhood to midlife. PNAS, 109(40), E2657–E2664. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1206820109

Nature News (2012). Drop in IQ linked to heavy teenage cannabis use. https://www.nature.com/articles/nature.2012.11278.pdf

Ohio Capital Journal (2025). Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine signs intoxicating hemp ban, new marijuana regulations into law. https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2025/12/19/ohio-gov-mike-dewine-signs-intoxicating-hemp-ban-new-marijuana-regulations-into-law/

POLITICO (2025). Trump signs executive order to ease marijuana restrictions. https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/18/trump-signs-executive-order-to-ease-marijuana-restrictions-00698021

Rogeberg, O. (2012). Correlations between cannabis use and IQ change in the Dunedin cohort are consistent with confounding. PNAS, 109(40), E2657–E2664. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1215678110

Rogeberg, O., & Elvik, R. (2016). The effects of cannabis intoxication on motor vehicle collision revisited. Addiction, 111(8), 1348–1359. https://doi.org/10.1111/add.13347

Statehouse News Bureau (2025). Cannabis law changes, hemp beverage ban heads to Gov. DeWine. https://www.statenews.org/government-politics/2025-12-09/cannabis-law-changes-hemp-beverage-ban-heads-to-ohio-gov-dewine

Toce, M. S., et al. (2025). Emergency Department Visits for Cannabis Hyperemesis Syndrome Among Adolescents. JAMA Network Open, 8(7), e2520492. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.20492

USA Today/Cincinnati Enquirer (2025). Gov. Mike DeWine bans THC-infused drinks and products in Ohio. https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2025/12/19/gov-mike-dewine-bans-thc-infused-drinks-and-products-in-ohio/87850131007/

Volkow, N. D., et al. (2014). Adverse Health Effects of Marijuana Use. NEJM, 370(23), 2219–2227. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMra1402309

Wang, G. S., Roosevelt, G., & Heard, K. (2016). Unintentional pediatric exposures to marijuana in Colorado, 2009–2015. JAMA Pediatrics, 170(9):e160971. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2016.0971

Clinical Pediatrics (2019). The Continued Impact of Marijuana Legalization on Unintentional Pediatric Exposures in Colorado. https://doi.org/10.1177/0009922818805206

All About Lawyer (2025). Breaking Update: Federal Rescheduling to Schedule III. https://allaboutlawyer.com/is-marijuana-federally-legal-breaking-december-2025-update-on-federal-rescheduling-to-schedule-iii/

WLWT (2025). Ohio Gov. DeWine signs bill with line-item veto on marijuana/hemp changes. https://www.wlwt.com/article/ohio-gov-mike-dewine-hemp-marijuana-laws-line-item-veto/69823362

APA Ohio (2023). Summary of Ohio Issue 2 (Adult Use Cannabis). https://www.ohioplanning.org/aws/APAOH/asset_manager/get_file/883288

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

The Cover-up at Brown University: Trying to make a homeless person the hero when the technology says otherwise

You know the feeling when something awful happens in a place that prides itself on being civilized, thoughtful, safe, and should represent the best of what the human race is, but instead, we get hazy excuses and an obvious diversion from what the truth presents. That’s where Brown University ended up after a school shooter unleashed a terror that was purposeful and laced with evil. A packed review session for Principles of Economics, the biggest class on campus, half the undergrads take it, stadium seating in that first-floor lecture hall in Barus & Holley, doors at the top, TAs running the show, and then chaos—someone comes through those doors, yells something unintelligible in the panic, and starts firing. Students scrambling down rows to get lower, some shot, some trampled, alarms, sirens, the whole nightmare—and then a lockdown that stretches for hours while families text, call, pray, and wait. That’s the scene; it’s not conjecture. Professor Rachel Friedberg told reporters the TA described that exact sequence: doors, a shout, gunfire, scramble. Nearly all of those shot were students; two died that day. 12

From minute one, the mechanics of the response mattered. You could see the institutional muscle memory kick in—alerts pushed to phones, shelter-in-place orders, police perimeter, “RUN, HIDE, FIGHT” language in the official notice. Within an hour, Brown’s president said two from the university community were dead; later briefings clarified the count—two dead, nine wounded, most in critical but stable condition—and confirmed that the shooting happened inside a classroom during finals. The police and FBI released surveillance clips: a stocky figure in dark clothing, face masked, moving around the neighborhood before the attack, caught again crossing Hope Street as police cruisers with lights flashing arrived at the scene. The timeline—about 4:03 p.m. for the shooting, 4:07 p.m. for that clip—was explicit; investigators even asked the public to study the body language to see if it sparked recognition. 345

Here’s where I’m at on the issue, because I’ve been saying for years that modern surveillance, paired with AI pattern analysis, can collapse manhunts from weeks into hours if the institutions decide they want the speed more than they want the story managed. The gait stood out, yes—law enforcement and media experts flagged the unique, waddling cadence, the hurried cross-mid-block stride, the right hand in pocket, and the loitering pre-attack pacing. That’s all on tape. But while a body-language expert can talk about “markers,” the discipline of turning that to a name requires clean, corroborated links—vehicles, plate readers, rental contracts, receipts, corroborating cameras—because if you try to “enhance” a masked face with consumer AI and call it evidence, you don’t just get noise; you get harm. That’s not my opinion alone; local broadcasters ran analyses warning that AI reconstructions of masked faces are statistical guesses, not reconstructions, and can lead to doxxing and false accusations. In that sense, the authorities’ public posture—“help us with gait and posture, not with invented faces”—was technically prudent. 67

But prudence doesn’t restore trust. Asking people to trust after decades of institutional hedging is like asking a bruised muscle to sprint. Students lit Hanukkah candles under lockdown snow the next night, rabbis and the mayor speaking against a backdrop of grief and uncertainty, and speculation churned online about motive—was this connected to the Jewish identity of the professor? Was it random? Was it ideological? Officials initially said they couldn’t name the suspect, and the motive was unclear. The campus felt the vacuum, and vacuums invite narratives. 89

Meanwhile, the world wasn’t quiet. On that same weekend, a father-and-son pair opened fire on a Hanukkah celebration at Bondi Beach in Sydney. Authorities there called it a terrorist attack inspired by Islamic State ideology, found two ISIS flags in a car, and said the suspects had traveled to the Philippines weeks prior; the victims ranged from a 10-year-old girl to a Holocaust survivor. Leaders promised tightened gun laws, and journalists confirmed the attempted disarming of one gunman by a bystander—Ahmed al Ahmed—who was shot while saving lives. You can mark the contrast: officials clearly named ideology, travel, devices, firearms licenses, and even the number of guns. In Australia, they showed the receipts—and promised reforms. 1011

Back to Rhode Island—there was a long stretch of days when Providence officials asked for footage, published a map of streets to canvass, and said flatly, “We still don’t know who the person is or where he is.” People kept asking why the investigation felt slow. The attorney general said they had “actual physical evidence,” including DNA, that they were working through; the FBI posted a $50,000 reward and shared a video timeline. Hundreds of tips poured in; one person of interest was detained—and released when the evidence didn’t hold. The official line was careful; the campus mood was unsteady. 121314

Then came the break. It wasn’t gait analysis that cracked it open—it was a custodian’s memory, a description of a suspicious Nissan with Florida plates, and the network effect of license-plate cameras and rental-counter paperwork. Once the detectives traced the vehicle, they obtained the name, pulled the rental footage, and matched the clothing and satchel to the images from Hope Street. That led them north across multiple states to a storage facility in Salem, New Hampshire, where the suspect—Claudio Manuel Neves Valente, 48, a Portuguese national and former Brown physics doctoral student from the early 2000s—was found dead from a self-inflicted gunshot, with guns and matching evidence nearby. Investigators later said they were also confident he had fatally shot an MIT professor, Nuno F. G. Loureiro, at his home days after the Brown attack. With that, the press conferences got definitive: identity, movement, car, storage unit, firearms, interstate warrants, and a closed case—“We are 100% confident that this is our target.” 1516

Do you hear the rhetorical scrape there? For days, the messaging was uncertain and public help was sought; then, in an instant, it became certainty and closure—but closure without a motive. The U.S. attorney said they didn’t know “why Brown” or “why now.” The governor lauded professionalism and said the unthinkable happened. The university clarified the suspect’s past enrollment and withdrawal dates. And Washington moved on policy—pausing the diversity visa lottery program after officials said the suspect had gained permanent residency through it years earlier. For families, the policy swing doesn’t restore the missing person in the group photo or erase the trauma of barricaded rooms. For the public, it felt like a familiar script: massive lag, then sudden certainty, no motive, and a fresh policy hammer that lands faster than the story of “why.” 1718

I’ll say the quiet part out loud: people have lost faith in the way elite institutions and public agencies narrate the truth under pressure. It isn’t simply ideology; it’s pattern recognition born from repetition. When authorities say “we have no idea” while also asking citizens to analyze gait and posture, the precision of modern surveillance feels conspicuously underused—until a break comes from a janitor on Reddit who notices a car that matches his memory. When the very same weekend presents a comparative case abroad in which law enforcement explicitly names ideological inspiration and shows the chain of evidence, it throws Rhode Island’s cautiousness into sharper relief, whether you agree with it or not. 199

Now, let’s be rigorous about the AI claim. In theory, yes: combine high-resolution video, gait signatures, anthropometric metrics, and citywide camera networks with license-plate readers, and you can shrink the suspect pool to a handful. In practice, Providence officials publicly leaned on posture cues while emphasizing they were combing “terabytes of data” for “a moment shorter than a breath.” That suggests two things: first, the imagery they had wasn’t strong enough for facial recognition; second, they needed the car to anchor the identity. Once the vehicle entered the story, the rest snapped into place—rental desk, documents, clothing, satchel, routes, storage unit. The resolution didn’t come from gait alone; it came from the classic triad of witness memory, instrumented roads, and transactional paper trails. 920

Does that mean there was no “cover-up mode”? I can say that multiple outlets reported public frustration with the pace, and officials’ answers were too careful by design. They were also consistent in their lack of a named suspect—until they had one. And because the suspect died by suicide, you can’t cross-examine his timeline in court. That adds oxygen to conspiracies: a killer found dead, firearms present, case closed—no trial, no cross-examination, no motive, no sworn testimony from the defendant. If you’ve followed enough of these events, you know the narrative pressure points. But pressure points aren’t proof of deception. Proof rides on documents, timestamps, chain-of-custody, ballistics, travel records, and phone metadata; according to authorities, their confidence rested on that stack. 15

There is a lot to be concerned with.  I understand the instinct: pushback against bureaucratic hesitation to name a violent, extremist motivation when it exists, and a call to stop euphemizing it. That’s justified when evidence supports it. In Sydney, senior officials and the prime minister explicitly said the attack was inspired by Islamic State ideology, citing ISIS flags and devices. They didn’t smear all Muslims; they named a violent extremist as it happened. That distinction matters. It’s why mainstream Muslim leaders and everyday Muslims often stand up first to condemn such violence, because they reject the perversion of their faith. The Bondi coverage included witness heroism by a Muslim Syrian immigrant who risked his life to disarm a gunman—facts that complicate broad-brush claims and remind us that the line is between extremists and everyone else. 1011

Back at Brown, online speculation immediately mapped a motive—Jewish professor, Jewish studies affiliation, finals week, world context. The Providence Journal made clear that, at least in the early days, authorities had not indicated an antisemitic motive and cautioned readers against jumping to conclusions. Other outlets amplified the classroom details and the professor’s biography without asserting a motive. The sober position was that these facts are relevant but not determinative. In hindsight, once the suspect was identified as a former physics student with old ties to the building and with a separate alleged killing of an MIT physicist two days later, the working narrative shifted from ideology to the suspect’s personal path, still without motive. That absence keeps the speculation alive, but again, speculation is not evidence. 216

That doesn’t mean the public should be docile. Ask for transparency. Demand the release of non-sensitive investigation timelines, anonymized chain-of-custody summaries, camera maps, ballistic counts, and forensic procedure summaries. It is entirely appropriate to ask why, in a campus saturated with cameras and controlled-access doors, it took the outside tip to tie the car to the suspect, and whether earlier deployment of license-plate analytics could have shortened the search. Authorities did say they were analyzing terabytes and looking for “moments shorter than a breath,” but post-incident review could compare actual practice against best-practice benchmarks—how quickly do you push plate-reader networks, and who holds the trigger to expand search radii beyond city lines? Those are procedural questions, not ideological accusations. 9

And there’s a separate theme that is critical here: gun-free zones as magnets for predation. The Australian case complicates that idea—New South Wales has some of the strictest gun laws in the western world, and officials are now proposing even laws more stringent after the attack, while acknowledging that one gunman legally owned six firearms. In Providence, the shooter carried a 9mm handgun and fired more than forty rounds; the campus went into lockdown; the suspect fled. Whether a “gun-free zone” policy on an Ivy League campus changes the tactical reality of a fast indoor attack is a hard discussion, and different jurisdictions answer it differently. What the record shows here is a rapid, lethal attack and a suspect who escaped—followed by a multi-day search, which could have been resolved if someone in that class could have shot back, immediately. 104

AI’s ability to identify someone from gait within minutes would have pointed authorities in the right direction quickly if they wanted to use it.  But, instead authorities dug in with a narrative acting like we were in the 1950s again.  They knew right away through computer analysis who the shooter was.  But what they needed was a story that fit the scenario and wouldn’t open up a whole new can of worms, even if they had to open up a whole can of new worms to divert everyone’s attention to something else. Technically, gait biometrics can reduce search pools, but most U.S. departments do not have turnkey, court-hardened gait-to-ID pipelines, and the legal risks of false matches are nontrivial. That’s why investigators publicly asked for help with posture recognition while privately chasing corroborating leads.  But they were stalling for time.

The deeper historical piece—is that high-capacity surveillance changes evidentiary expectations. When officials deploy city cameras and ask the public for “any footage,” people expect 24-hour clarity. If they don’t get it, they suspect misdirection. But surveillance still relies on links—vehicle-to-person, person-to-transaction, transaction-to-route. Brown’s investigators said they were overwhelmed with tips and terabytes; the bottleneck wasn’t will—it was filtering. And that’s perhaps the most honest critique: if institutions are going to lean on surveillance-heavy narratives (“we have enhanced video”), they need surge capacity to parse the data within hours, not days. 14

As is usual these days we are dealing with institutional incompetence that terrorist minded individuals, and groups use to unleash their intents of violence.  Below is a timeline that shows a lot of chaos that wraps up suddenly, under a lot of pressure, too neatly, an attempt to make a homeless person the hero of the story instead of the very defined evidence produced by the walk of the killer and the vulnerability of the university security.  Or the motivations of radical Islam that may have been connected to the shooting.  Early reports suggested that the shooter yelled out Islamic references during the violence.  The police reported that he barked like a dog.

 Here’s what I think happened: Brown University had a small pocket of radical leftists who moved to shoot up the classroom of a Jewish professor, and a particular student was targeted in the attack who was affiliated with the Christian religion.  The attack was purposeful on a Saturday as opposed to other days because it was the second day of Hanukkah.  The apparent target of the attack was young, 19-year-old Ella Cook, a very Christian student who had considered motherhood the highest calling.  The proximity of the bullets in her direction lends purpose to the observation.  And instantly Brown University went into cover-up mode, knowing they had a major problem on their hands that involved an ideology they support, the Muslim overthrow of Western Civilization.  And to contain the panic from the press, they tried to buy time.  Meanwhile, intelligence agents found some loser who was going nowhere in life, and set him up to be the killer.  This is an easy thing to do with MK Ultra techniques such as was the case with Operation Chaos involving Charlie Manson and the Family of the Helter Skelter killings.  Once the proposed killer had left a correct paper trail that they could deflect to, they put his body in that storage unit and orchestrated the evidence to cause his discovery, so they could close this case to almost everyone’s satisfaction.  But, that is far from the case.   That’s my opinion based on what is known so far.  

• Time and place: Shooting inside Barus & Holley, shortly after 4 p.m. on Dec. 13; review session for ECON0110; two killed, nine wounded. 2

• Visuals: Multiple videos of a stocky, masked person of interest; FBI timeline shows the individual near police minutes after the attack; officials asked for gait recognition help. 5

• Public messaging: A person of interest was detained and released; hundreds of tips, enhanced videos; a public canvassing map was issued. 414

• Investigative break: Tip identifying a car with Florida plates; plate-reader network and rental paperwork yield the suspect’s name; clothing and satchel in rental footage match scene images. 1920

• Resolution: Suspect identified as Claudio Manuel Neves Valente, 48; found dead by suicide in Salem, NH storage unit; linked to the killing of MIT professor Nuno Loureiro; case closed without stated motive. 1618

• Comparative context: Bondi Beach attack labeled as ISIS-inspired by Australian authorities, with explicit evidence (flags, devices, travel) and legislative pledges. 10

[1] Professor’s account of the review session setting, doors at the top, shout, gunfire; confirmation that ECON0110 is Brown’s most-attended course. 1

[2] Providence Journal explainer on the class context, professor’s biography, and official statements about lack of indicated antisemitic motive early on. 2

[3] FBI and police video timeline showing person of interest before and after the attack; posture/gait emphasis; reward announcement. 5

[4] AP/PBS summary of investigation status, release of a person of interest, 9mm rounds, and a classroom setting. 4

[5] USA Today timeline of campus alerts and briefing cadence; detailed chronology of the first 6 hours after the shooting. 3

[6] Providence Journal live updates confirming suspect identification, suicide, and link to MIT killing; attorney general’s “100% confident” language. 15

[7] USA Today and ABC News on the suspect’s identity, prior Brown enrollment dates, New Hampshire discovery, and federal remarks. 1618

[8] CBC/AP detailed narrative on the tip about the vehicle, use of license-plate networks, and rental-counter documentary evidence. 19

[9] PBS and NBC accounts of the Bondi Beach attack designation as ISIS-inspired; flags, devices, and gun-law reform proposals. 1011

[10] Reuters/U.S. News details on suspects’ travel to the Philippines; investigation notes on weakened extremist networks there. 21

Footnotes / Supplemental Data

— Brown ECON0110 session description and professor remarks: WBUR; Providence Journal. 12

— Law enforcement video timelines, posture/gait emphasis, reward: ABC News; PBS NewsHour. 54

— Campus alert chronology and initial casualty updates: USA Today timeline. 3

— Investigation process, canvassing map, terabytes of data, quote: PBS NewsHour; CBS News briefing notes. 914

— Tip-line break via vehicle ID, plate readers, rental footage, satchel/clothing match: CBC/AP; Sky News. 1920

— Identification of suspect, storage-unit suicide, former Brown enrollment, link to MIT professor’s killing: USA Today; ABC News; Providence Journal live updates. 161815

— Bondi Beach attack facts: ISIS flags, devices, travel to the Philippines, reform proposals; eyewitness hero Ahmed al Ahmed: PBS/AP; NBC News live updates; Reuters. 101121

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

A Change in Strategy: Making wins great again, and more often

It is truly encouraging to witness President Donald Trump returning to the campaign trail with renewed vigor, particularly as he emphasizes the critical issue of affordability for everyday Americans. His recent appearance in Pennsylvania, a key battleground state, marked a strong start to what promises to be an aggressive push leading into the 2026 midterms. In that rally on December 9, 2025, at the Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Trump delivered a message centered on economic relief, highlighting how his policies are already beginning to address the lingering burdens placed on families by years of misguided governance. While he critiqued the notion of an “affordability crisis” as overstated by opponents, he underscored tangible progress, such as falling gas prices and efforts to deregulate burdensome rules that drive up costs for essentials like appliances and vehicles. This approach resonates deeply because it acknowledges the real struggles Americans face while pointing to proactive solutions.

Timing could not have been more poignant, coming just days before the Federal Reserve’s decision on December 10, 2025, under Chairman Jerome Powell, to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark range to 3.50%-3.75%. This modest reduction, the third in a series that year, was met with division within the Fed, reflecting broader uncertainties in the economy. Trump has rightly pointed out that such moves, while welcome, come far too late for many households battered by prolonged high borrowing costs. The damage inflicted by inflationary policies during the Biden administration, compounded by the Fed’s earlier hesitance, has created a deep hole from which recovery will demand time and deliberate action. Mortgages, car loans, and credit card debt remain elevated for millions, eroding purchasing power even as some indicators improve. It will take sustained effort to restore true economic confidence, and piecemeal rate adjustments alone cannot undo the entrenched effects overnight. [1]

The root causes trace back further, to policies initiated under the Obama era and radically amplified under Biden. From expansive spending programs that fueled demand without matching supply increases, to regulatory overreach that stifled energy production and manufacturing, these approaches disrupted the robust growth trajectory established during Trump’s first term from 2017 to 2020. In those years, deregulation, tax reforms, and pro-energy policies drove unemployment to historic lows, wage growth for middle- and lower-income workers, and a manufacturing renaissance. Many initiatives launched then—such as opportunity zones and criminal justice reform—laid foundations for broader prosperity. Yet, the abrupt shift under Biden reversed much of that momentum, prioritizing ideologically driven agendas over practical economics. The result was supply chain vulnerabilities exposed by the pandemic, energy dependence that empowered adversaries, and inflation that peaked at levels not seen in decades. [2]

Even now, in late 2025, the lingering shadows of those policies manifest in persistent affordability challenges. Groceries, housing, and energy costs remain elevated compared to pre-2021 levels, squeezing family budgets despite cooling inflation rates. Americans are understandably impatient; they want relief in their pockets today, not promises deferred. Trump’s return to the trail signals a commitment to accelerating that relief through bold measures, including tariff strategies designed to protect domestic industries and encourage reshoring of jobs.

Tariffs, often misunderstood, are a vital tool in this equation. Ongoing disputes and legal challenges surrounding their implementation highlight the complexities, but they also underscore their potential to rebuild American leverage in global trade. By addressing unfair practices from trading partners, tariffs aim to level the playing field, fostering investment here at home and ultimately contributing to lower long-term costs through stronger domestic production. Uncertainties remain as courts review certain authorities, but the principle stands: protecting American workers and consumers requires resolve against imbalances that have eroded manufacturing bases for decades. [3][4]

This context sets the stage for the 2026 midterms, where Republicans must demonstrate aggression and unity to retain control of Congress and advance an agenda of renewal. Keeping the House majority is paramount, given its narrow margins and the historical tendency for the president’s party to face headwinds in off-year elections. With key races across battlegrounds, the party needs to articulate a clear vision: continuing deregulation, securing borders to curb illicit flows impacting communities, and prioritizing policies that put money back in citizens’ pockets. [5]

On a personal note, as someone who has long engaged in sharing insights through daily blog postings and videos, I have observed how information dissemination plays a pivotal role in shaping outcomes. Over time, my content has evolved to reach a targeted audience—movers and shakers at various levels of society, particularly those in influential positions across industries and politics. These individuals are the ones driving change, seeking substantive arguments to deploy in boardrooms, legislatures, and conversations that matter. My aim has never been to cater to the broadest crowd but to equip those in power with ammunition: well-reasoned points, backed by facts, that can influence decisions.

This requires independence. I deliberately steer clear of entanglements in fields dominated by self-serving structures, such as much of the legal profession. Having navigated legal battles in recent years, I have grown profoundly disenchanted with a system that often prioritizes complexity and billing over justice and efficiency. Lawyers, with rare exceptions, overcharge for routine tasks, perpetuating a judicial framework so convoluted that ordinary citizens cannot navigate it without “experts.” This setup discourages principled individuals from entering politics, as many politicians emerge from law backgrounds laden with legalistic mindsets ill-suited to real-world problem-solving. Conservatives in these roles may hold decent values, but their training often hampers innovative thinking. By remaining outside such ecosystems, I can offer objective, unfiltered opinions that resonate precisely because they cut through the noise.

People cling to these perspectives because they are articulated coherently, stringing ideas into comprehensive narratives. In a landscape flooded with superficial commentary, originality stands out. High-level attorneys and political consultants, constrained by their professions’ lack of creativity, frequently seek external inspiration. My role is to provide that—freely, without the exorbitant fees that characterize traditional consulting. Charging thousands per hour for insights that should be shared as civic contribution strikes me as exploitative. True proficiency yields abundance without needing to monetize every interaction; giving information away elevates society as a whole. [7]

Recently, I have adapted my blog postings to enhance their utility. Where once I offered straightforward opinions for consumption and action, I now incorporate detailed footnotes, akin to academic sourcing. This shift allows readers to delve deeper, verifying claims and building upon them. On affordability, for instance, statistics abound—housing starts, wage growth relative to inflation, energy independence metrics—that bolster arguments when properly cited. Influential readers can then integrate these into strategies, legislation, or campaigns with confidence.

This adaptation aligns with technological evolution, particularly the rise of AI tools that scan vast information streams. In an era where traditional reading habits wane and content is often consumed via audio or summaries, making material AI-friendly accelerates its impact. Footnotes provide structured entry points for algorithms to extract supplemental data, enabling users to rapidly develop informed positions on legislation, legal analyses, or political tactics.

Looking ahead to 2026, these efforts support broader goals: retaining Republican control of the House, electing strong candidates like Vivek Ramaswamy to the Ohio governorship—where recent polls show a tight race against Democrat Amy Acton, with affordability central to both platforms—and ensuring Trump’s agenda succeeds. Ohio exemplifies states where principled leadership can address major challenges, from economic revitalization to public health and education reforms. Nationwide, down-ballot races will determine whether progress continues or stalls. [8]

Trump’s unique strength lies in his ability to distill complex issues into messages that captivate mass audiences at rallies. His communication style energizes supporters and clarifies stakes in ways few can match. Yet, sustained success demands more: pervasive, enduring content that outlasts news cycles. By enhancing accessibility—opinions paired with verifiable sources—individuals can adapt ideas, add personal spins, and act swiftly. [6]

Information access is half the battle. Equipping decision-makers with tools to research further empowers them to craft platforms efficiently. My high-volume output risks fading in daily overload, but strategic adjustments ensure longevity. As AI perpetuates and amplifies quality content, it becomes an ally in disseminating strategies.

Ultimately, my contribution is clarifying paths to tactical victories. Trump rallies inspire and mobilize, but translating enthusiasm into electoral wins requires groundwork: candidate recruitment, message refinement, voter turnout. In this exciting juncture, with 2026 poised for Republican gains and extensions to 2028, collective roles interlock. Providing clear, actionable insights helps successors pick up the baton—new governors, senators, representatives—and run effectively.

We stand at a pivotal moment. Economic direction is shifting rightward, but vigilance is essential. Sharing substantiated views, subscribing to aligned channels, and engaging actively can make tomorrow better. The business of renewal thrives on informed participation; and  lasting prosperity.


References:

[1] Associated Press, NBC News coverage of Trump rally in Pennsylvania, December 9, 2025.

[2] Federal Reserve Board, FOMC Statement, December 10, 2025; CNBC report on rate cut.

[3] Bureau of Labor Statistics, Real Earnings Report, September 2025.

[4] Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, State of the Nation’s Housing 2025.

[5] Congressional Research Service, Report R48549 on tariff actions and trade policy.

[6] The Hill and Ohio Capital Journal coverage of Ohio governor race polling, late 2025.

[7] Thomson Reuters, State of the US Legal Market 2025; JDJournal billing rate analysis.

[8] McKinsey Global Survey on AI Adoption, 2025; Ahrefs State of AI in Content Marketing report.

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

Trump’s Relationship with Qatar: Tucker’s interview with Sheikh Mohammed

There’s a difference between people who hold a line because it feels righteous and those who keep asking questions because they know reality changes with every new fact. Reporters live—or should live—on that second path. The more evidence you collect, the more you grow, and growth tends to look messy from the outside. Tucker Carlson’s evolution has had plenty of critics, but what deserves attention is the basic craft: go to the places other media avoid, ask the blunt questions, publish the exchange, and let the audience judge. His recent interview in Doha with Qatar’s prime minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, landed exactly in that territory: controversial, necessary, and clarifying—especially if your goal is to understand how diplomacy actually works in the Middle East, where U.S. forces rely on Al Udeid Air Base and where back‑channels with difficult actors are the price of getting hostages out and guns silenced, even temporarily.[^1][^2]

If you’re serious about peace, you talk. You talk to adversaries, to intermediaries, to people whose ideology makes your skin crawl, because the alternative is to guess their motives and fire at shadows. Qatar sits at the nexus of two realities that make Americans uncomfortable: it’s a major non‑NATO ally hosting the largest U.S. base in the region, and it has, for years, served as a conduit to Hamas and other hard actors—often at Washington’s request.[^3][^4] That dual role draws fire. Critics say, with reason, that Doha has tolerated extremist financiers and given political oxygen to movements we reject.[^5][^6] Defenders point out that Doha’s mediation has repeatedly produced outcomes Washington needed—hostage exchanges, ceasefire windows, and channels to groups we won’t meet directly.[^7][^8] Both can be true at once; the practical question is whether engagement through Qatar, under U.S. conditions, yields more stability than posturing in its absence.

Carlson’s Doha exchange turned the subtext into text. He put the prime minister on the hook: why host Hamas, and what money goes where? Al Thani’s answer was pointed—that Hamas’s presence in Doha began as a U.S. and Israeli‑approved channel, with transfers to civilians in Gaza coordinated transparently.[^9][^10] Believe that fully or not, the claim is now on record. As viewers, we got posture, context, and accountability: a mediator stating publicly the rationale and process. From there the discussion veered to an even sharper controversy—reports of Israeli operations striking in Doha during mediation, and the unusual moment when President Trump pushed Prime Minister Netanyahu to issue a formal apology to Qatar for violating a mediator’s “safe space.”[^11][^12] That detail matters, because it shows business‑style leadership doing something Washington rarely does: pressing a close ally to respect a process that serves U.S. interests, not just alliance optics. If you want ceasefires and hostages home, you protect your channels, even when doing so costs political points with familiar audiences.

Now, you don’t have to be a “fan” of Carlson to see the utility of the interview. The point is the reporting: ask hard questions, surface contradictions, let the audience trace the through‑line to policy. Media that refuses to platform controversial interlocutors substitutes judgment for evidence; the audience gets a filtered picture that flatters ideology. The record—on readiness at Al Udeid, on the scale of Qatari lobbying in Washington, on LNG leverage and sovereign wealth—demands more than slogans.[^13][^14][^15] Qatar isn’t a sidebar; it’s a strategic keystone in the current security architecture. U.S. operations across the region depend on basing and overflight, and since 2003 Qatar has pumped billions into infrastructure that CENTCOM, AFCENT, and Special Operations rely on every day.[^3][^16] When the U.S. chooses to engage through Doha to reach groups like Hamas or Taliban political offices, it’s choosing the least bad path to outcomes other channels can’t deliver. That’s not romance; it’s logistics.

Enter Ted Cruz. His criticism of Carlson for interviewing Doha’s head of government—and later jabbing at Carlson’s announcement that he would buy property in Qatar—reads as a continuation of a summer feud that began with Cruz’s hawkish case for regime change in Iran and ran aground on basic facts.[^17][^18][^19] In the viral exchange, Carlson pressed Cruz for the population size and ethnic composition of the country he was urging the U.S. to help topple. Cruz couldn’t answer, then pivoted to accusation. The clip went everywhere because it reduced a complex policy argument to one essential question: if you want to kill a government, do you know the country you’re about to break?[^20][^21] It wasn’t a debating trick; it was a reporter asking for the minimal knowledge that makes an intervention policy serious. The broader MAGA family split between business‑first pragmatists and maximalist hawks was already visible; this spat simply made the line brighter. Months later in Doha, Cruz lashed publicly, accusing Carlson of shilling for a “terror state” and posting taunts that did more to inflame than to persuade.[^22][^23][^24] The problem with this style of critique isn’t passion; it’s shallow framing. If Carlson’s interview put facts on the table about mediation, basing, and aid, then the appropriate counter is data: track transfers, cite Treasury designations, show where Doha violates commitments, and argue for remedies that preserve U.S. interests while constraining Qatar’s worst habits.

So let’s put those numbers down. Economically, Qatar is small in headcount and huge in energy. It has the world’s third‑largest proven gas reserves, sits among the top LNG exporters, and is moving through a multi‑year North Field expansion intended to nearly double LNG capacity by 2030.[^25][^26] Marketed natural gas output held steady at ~170 bcm in 2024, with domestic consumption around 42 bcm.[^27] Hydrocarbon revenues fell with global prices from 2022 to 2023, but hydrocarbons still accounted for a dominant share of government income.[^26] Real GDP growth hovered near 2% in 2024 by IMF estimates, with non‑hydrocarbon sectors advancing under the Third National Development Strategy (NDS‑3) and Vision 2030.[^28][^29] The sovereign wealth footprint—Qatar Investment Authority—sits in the hundreds of billions and projects soft‑power reach through high‑profile stakes and global partnerships.[^29] The upshot is leverage: Doha can fund influence, absorb reputational bruises, and keep playing mediator because LNG cash cushions the risk.

Security ties with the United States are institutional, not episodic. The State Department fact sheets lay it out: access, basing, and overflight privileges facilitate operations against al‑Qa’ida affiliates and ISIS; Al Udeid hosts forward headquarters for multiple U.S. commands; and Foreign Military Sales with Qatar exceed $26 billion, including F‑15QA fighters and advanced air defense.[^3] The Trump White House readouts in 2017 and 2018 acknowledged the need to resolve the GCC rift while recognizing Qatar’s counterterrorism MOU progress; they also leaned into trade, investment, and defense procurement as stabilizers in the relationship.[^30][^31][^32] In 2025, Trump’s visit to Al Udeid produced headlines about Qatari investment in the base and defense purchases—exactly the business‑style diplomacy that critics deride and practitioners call reality.[^33] Even during acute tensions, like Iran’s missile attack on Al Udeid in June 2025 following U.S. strikes in Iran, Doha maintained posture as a U.S. ally condemning the attack and signaling response rights.[^34] That’s not a trivial point; basing partnerships show their character under fire.

On the other side of the ledger, accusations of terror financing and extremist hospitality have shadowed Doha for years. Treasury officials, analysts, and NGOs have documented permissive environments for designated financiers, support for Islamist movements, and Doha’s long encouragement of Hamas’s political bureau.[^5][^6][^35] Critics in Israel and the U.S. point to the billions in transfers to Gaza since 2018 and argue that aid inevitably strengthens Hamas’s governance.[^36][^37] Qatar’s counter is always two‑part: (1) mediation requires contact, and (2) funds for civilians were coordinated and monitored, with Israel’s participation.[^10][^36] Washington’s posture has waxed and waned. In late 2024, amid stalemates in hostage talks, reports surfaced that the U.S. asked Doha to expel Hamas’s political leadership and that Qatar temporarily suspended mediation out of frustration with both sides.[^38][^39][^40] Yet by January 2025, Doha helped broker a new ceasefire and hostage exchange with U.S. and Egyptian negotiators, underscoring the bipartisan reality: when talks matter, you want the mediator who knows the rooms and the personalities.[^41][^42] You can hate that arrangement and still need it.

This is where business leadership in public office makes a difference. A dealmaker’s instinct is to preserve optionality and keep lines open long enough to test whether interests can align. It looks ambiguous because it is. Trump’s approach to Qatar—leaning into investment, leveraging basing ties, and pushing allies privately to respect mediation—fits that mold.[^30][^33][^12] Purists will say ambiguity equals moral compromise. Practitioners will say ambiguity equals leverage. In the Middle East, leverage is often the only bridge between bad choices and less‑bad outcomes. You can meet Kim Jong Un, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, or Sheikh Mohammed Al Thani without endorsing their systems; you do it because future decisions are better when today’s signals are clearer. And yes, sometimes you compliment the counterpart in public to keep a channel from collapsing while your team demands changes behind the door. That isn’t lying; it’s sequencing.

Critics like Ted Cruz would cast this as disingenuous—insisting that any public warmth is complicity with terror sponsors. But that framing misses the mechanics of influence. You don’t get ceasefires by humiliating mediators; you get them by constraining their worst incentives and rewarding their best. If Qatar wants legitimacy in Washington—as the Quincy Institute tallied, Doha spent nearly $250 million on registered lobbying and PR since 2016 to cultivate precisely that—it will pay reputational costs for any backsliding on financing or hospitality for extremists.[^15] The same pressure campaign that plastered Times Square with anti‑Qatar billboards in 2024 can push Congress toward tighter conditions on aid monitoring and final‑mile disbursement in Gaza.[^41] But the hard question for hawks is: when Doha is out, who replaces them? Egypt will mediate; so will other Gulf states in narrower rooms. None has Qatar’s combination of access, money, and U.S. basing ties. Kicking Doha out satisfies anger but reduces your toolset.

In the Carlson–Cruz feud, the impulse to turn a complex policy dispute into a loyalty test shortchanges the audience. Carlson’s insistence on basic knowledge before regime‑change rhetoric isn’t anti‑hawk; it’s anti‑reckless. Cruz’s insistence that engagement equals endorsement ignores decades of U.S. practice using adversarial channels for adversarial needs. Consider Qatar’s role with the Taliban: Washington leveraged Doha for talks that led to prisoner exchanges and the exit framework from Afghanistan.[^60][^56] Consider hostage mediation in Russia or the Middle East: Doha helped facilitate discussions for detainees like Evan Gershkovich and served as a neutral space in otherwise impossible dialogues.[^1][^8] These aren’t fairy tales; they’re messy, partial wins, and they depend on TVs and microphones bringing the people in charge into public view. That’s what interviews like Carlson’s accomplish when they’re done right. He asked, the PM answered, and viewers can now calibrate their own assessment with specific claims to confirm or reject.

The economic overlay matters too. A state as energy‑rich as Qatar will always try to convert LNG revenue into geopolitical insulation. The IMF and EIA numbers make clear that hydrocarbon cash dominates fiscal capacity even as NDS‑3 pushes diversification.[^28][^26][^23] That has two effects. First, Doha can bankroll long mediations and PR campaigns without bleeding out; second, Western capitals keep incentives to tolerate the mediator they dislike because they want supply security and logistics continuity. If you want Europe warm in winter and U.S. aircraft running in theater, you do not casually sever the relationship with the Gulf’s gas giant. The grown‑up move is to bind Doha to verifiable conditions—Treasury enforcement, intelligence coordination, and staged monitoring of any humanitarian flows—while protecting Al Udeid as a strategic asset. Business practice calls this creating a “win set”: align enough interests that cooperation beats non‑cooperation for all critical actors.

Which brings us back to interviewing controversial leaders. The point is not to canonize the interviewer; it’s to normalize the discipline. Serious journalism is adversarial but curious. You ask the uncomfortable question about hosting Hamas. You press the claim about transfers. You challenge the narrative on strikes and apologies. Then you publish—and the audience gets data points to test. Telling reporters they can’t sit down with a prime minister because online factions see treachery in the flight itinerary is a recipe for self‑inflicted ignorance. If free speech means anything, it means we hear answers from the source and decide. That’s healthier than relying on curated outrage.

None of this excuses Qatar’s poorest choices. Treasury, intelligence, and independent watchdogs should keep the heat on permissive financing networks and hospitality for designated actors.[^5][^6][^16] Congress should scrutinize any extravagant “gifts” to U.S. administrations—the 747‑8 controversy raised legitimate espionage concerns that deserve rigorous technical vetting, not partisan shrugs.[^43][^44] And U.S. policymakers should keep footing Qatar’s mediation inside clear boundaries: verifiable aid channels, explicit non‑funding of militant reconstruction, and sunset clauses on offices for organizations that reject compromise.[^1][^10][^41] But we also keep talking. Because talking—especially via mediators we can pressure—beats bombing channels into rubble and then wondering why prisoners don’t come home.

In the movement space, there’s a temptation to equate criticism of allies with betrayal. That assumption wrecks coalitions. If Trump does something worthy of critique, critique it. If a reporter catches a senator flat‑footed on basic facts, don’t convert hurt pride into a campaign against engagement. Carlson’s Iran exchange exposed a habit among some hawks of treating intervention as a posture rather than a plan. Plans begin with numbers—population, composition, economic throughput—and follow with a theory of change. That’s not softness; it’s competence. When a prime minister in Doha says the quiet part out loud—about who asked for Hamas’s office and how transfers were overseen—the competent response is to document, verify, and adjust policy steps accordingly. It is not to shoot the messenger for doing a job.

The Middle East will not reward purity tests. It rewards leverage and consistency. Qatar fits awkwardly in that frame: ally to the U.S., conduit to groups we oppose, and energy engine with a long bank account. You can push Doha toward better behavior, and you should. But you should also use interviews—especially tense ones—to educate a public hungry for unfiltered answers. Carlson is not a savior figure, and he would probably laugh at the suggestion. He’s a reporter who, in this case, asked the right questions in the right room. If ten years from now you want a record that shows how we got hostages back and froze fires long enough to move aid trucks, you’ll need the transcript.

In business, the rule is simple: find one thing you can build on, even when you dislike nine others. That’s how families stay intact; it’s how companies close deals; and it’s how countries avoid wars they can’t win. The Doha interview, and the larger debate over Qatar’s role, is exactly that kind of test. We should be sophisticated enough to take it.

Footnotes / Sources

[^1]: U.S. Department of State, U.S. Security Cooperation With Qatar (Jan. 20, 2025), detailing Al Udeid basing, U.S. command presence, and defense cooperation.

[^2]: Gulf News, “Qatar’s Al Udeid Air Base explained” (June 24, 2025), overview of base history and strategic role.

[^3]: U.S. Department of State fact sheet; see also EIU note on Qatar’s “major non-NATO ally” status and mediation role.

[^4]: NPR / NBC reporting on Qatar’s mediation, including suspension and later resumption in 2024–2025.

[^5]: Counter Extremism Project, “Qatar, Money, and Terror” (overview of financing allegations).

[^6]: Wikipedia summary with citations, “Qatar and state-sponsored terrorism,” noting Treasury concerns (David S. Cohen, 2014) and legislative changes.

[^7]: TIME100 profile, Karl Vick (Apr. 17, 2024), on Al Thani’s mediation in Gaza; Wilson Center bio.

[^8]: The Economist Intelligence Unit (Jan. 31, 2025) on Qatar’s role in brokering the Jan. 2025 ceasefire/hostage deal.

[^9]: RealClearPolitics video brief and transcript excerpts: Qatari PM to Carlson—Hamas in Doha “at the request of the U.S.”; transfers coordinated with Israel (Dec. 7, 2025).

[^10]: TheWrap / The New Arab coverage of the interview, including Carlson’s on‑stage claims and Al Thani’s responses about aid transparency.

[^11]: DRM News / Singju Post transcription discussing Israeli strike in Doha and Trump’s push for apology (Dec. 7–8, 2025).

[^12]: VOR News analysis on Trump pressing Netanyahu to apologize post‑strike (Dec. 9, 2025).

[^13]: EIA Country Analysis Brief: Qatar (Oct. 20, 2025), revenue composition, LNG status.

[^14]: PwC Qatar Economy Watch 2024; NPC statistical release on 2024 GDP and diversification.

[^15]: Quincy Institute Brief 83 (Sept. 8, 2025), “Soft Power, Hard Influence,” tallying ~$250M in FARA‑registered spending since 2016.

[^16]: State Department basing and FMS; see also Gulf News for Al Udeid investment ($8B).

[^17]: NBC News (June 18, 2025), viral Carlson–Cruz exchange on Iran basics.

[^18]: The Independent coverage of the full interview and subsequent accusations.

[^19]: PEOPLE / TMZ / Chron local coverage corroborating the exchange details and Cruz’s posture.

[^20]: Firstpost explainer on why the clash went viral and its policy split implications (June 20, 2025).

[^21]: NBC / PEOPLE clips—Cruz admitting lack of population figure while advocating regime change.

[^22]: Mediaite (Dec. 5, 2025) and Algemeiner (Dec. 8, 2025) on Cruz’s #QatarFirst jab and later explicit taunts after Carlson’s property announcement.

[^23]: Yahoo/Mediaite recap of Carlson’s announcement and Cruz’s “terror state” criticism (Dec. 7–8, 2025).

[^24]: Economic Times / YouTube clip of the “No one can stop me” segment responding to Cruz (Dec. 8, 2025).

[^25]: EIA brief: gas production, export status, GTL facilities; LNG capacity trajectory.

[^26]: EIA table on hydrocarbon revenue and production composition; IMF revenue shares cited.

[^27]: Gulf Times citing GECF statistical bulletin (Dec. 13, 2025), marketed gas ~170 bcm, domestic ~41.9 bcm.

[^28]: New Zealand MFAT country report (Aug. 2024) and IMF projections: real GDP ~2% in 2024; LNG expansion growth wave post‑2025/26.

[^29]: PwC Economy Watch on NDS‑3, diversification; QIA scale; CEO optimism.

[^30]: Trump White House readout (Sept. 20, 2017) on meeting with Emir Tamim—counterterrorism MOU, GCC dispute resolution.

[^31]: Doha Institute analysis of April 2018 summit and U.S. repositioning on the GCC rift.

[^32]: GovInfo transcript of Sept. 19, 2017 remarks—trade and dispute resolution themes.

[^33]: Economic Times / CNBC TV18 coverage of Trump’s 2025 Gulf tour and Qatari investment/purchases (May 15, 2025).

[^34]: CNBC breaking news report (June 23, 2025) on Iran’s missile strike on Al Udeid and Qatar’s response.

[^35]: FDD analysis (July 13, 2025) on Qatar–Hamas ties over decades.

[^36]: Times of Israel analysis (Jan. 13, 2024) on Qatar’s dual role as Hamas sponsor and Western ally; Gaza transfers.

[^37]: Mediaite / Algemeiner cite estimates of ~$1.8B support; EIU notes monitored civilian transfers.

[^38]: NBC News (Nov. 9, 2024) reporting on Qatar halting mediation and U.S. pressure to expel Hamas political bureau.

[^39]: NPR (Nov. 9–10, 2024) on Qatar’s suspension and conditions for resumption.

[^40]: BBC / policy blogs reflecting the “withdrawal then return” mediation arc.

[^41]: Times of Israel (Jan. 16, 2025) analysis: “How Qatar gambled on mediating a Gaza truce, and won.”

[^42]: EIU (Jan. 31, 2025): Qatar’s key role, U.S.–Egypt partnership in brokering January ceasefire.

[^43]: The Hill (May 13, 2025) and CNBC video on Cruz warning about Qatari 747‑8 gift to Trump—espionage/surveillance concerns.

[^44]: Yahoo/NYSun recap of conservative backlash to Carlson buying property in Qatar—authoritarian critiques and free‑expression arguments.

[^60]: Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Qatar) / Wilson Center bios: Al Thani’s role in multiple regional mediations including Afghanistan.

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=2070

Don’t Be Afraid: Use the law to fight the corrupt and vicious

If you’ve lived a clean, orderly life—showed up to work, did the math, obeyed the rules, paid the bills—you learn a certain kind of strength: the strength of process. Republicans tend to be good at that kind of thing. They thrive where procedures are clear, contracts are binding, and a judge or a bookkeeper can settle disputes without theatrics. Put them in a courtroom with a well‑pled complaint? They can handle it. Put them at a negotiating table? They can handle that, too. But throw them into chaos—into the screaming, the doxxing, the crowd at a private front door—and many freeze, not because they’re cowards, but because they believe society ought to operate by rules, not by mob. That belief is noble. And it’s exactly why intimidation campaigns target them. The tactic exploits an instinct for order, and it weaponizes the fear that comes when the normal guardrails vanish. That is what we’re living through: a season where leak‑driven outrage, targeted protests at private residences, doxxing, swatting, and the constant electricity of public shaming are used to stop people from speaking, voting, and governing according to conscience.[1][2]

He’s right, he’s not very smart.

When people ask me—usually over the holidays, when social circles get wider and worlds collide—why they see guns in every room at my house, why there are pistols in the car, why I’m wary at a stoplight, I don’t answer with ideology. I answer with experience. Doxxing is not theoretical. It’s not just some internet spat. It’s real names, real addresses, real phone numbers circulating with an explicit purpose: to frighten opponents into silence.[3][4] It’s organized pressure at the home of a judge, or the spouse of an official, or the family of a journalist. And it’s sometimes followed by swatting—false emergency calls meant to trigger an armed police response—because the goal isn’t debate; it’s compliance or catastrophe.[5][6] There is a reason federal law exists that bars picketing “in or near” a judge’s residence with intent to influence a decision.[7][8][9] There is a reason Congress and the Department of Justice have repeatedly briefed on threats to Supreme Court justices since the Dobbs leak in May 2022 and on the criminal intent behind campaigns to frighten the court before a ruling is issued.[10][11] There is a reason why a man armed with a handgun, tactical knife, pepper spray, zip ties, and other gear was arrested outside Justice Kavanaugh’s home, reportedly intending to kill him over the Dobbs decision.[12] These are not hypotheticals; these are police reports and sworn filings. And if you want to understand the psychology of intimidation, look at patterns: find a leak, publish private data, escalate at the home, and hope a target simply opts out of public life.

If you ask why Republicans are particularly vulnerable to this, it’s because the tactic is engineered to exploit lawful personalities. Conservatives often draw lines around “acceptable conflict”: argue in court, vote at the legislature, publish a rebuttal in the paper. They rarely relish the street theater that Saul Alinsky framed as agitation.[13][14] Alinsky famously opened Rules for Radicals with a sly epigraph acknowledging “the very first radical … who rebelled against the establishment … Lucifer,” a provocation not as theology but as theater—a wink that lampoons establishment decorum and celebrates disruption.[15][16] It’s exactly that form of disruption—contrived conflict—that many order‑minded people find repellent or confusing. Republicans don’t “hide”; they trust the system. They don’t “cower”; they prefer the law. But the radicals who rely on intimidation know those preferences, and they know that broadcasting your address, swamping your phones, and showing up at your home on a Thursday night is not about persuasion. It’s about teaching you that rules won’t protect you, so you’d better stop talking.[17][18]

Let’s be clear about terms. Doxxing refers to publicizing personally identifiable information—home address, phone numbers, family details—often scraped from data brokers, court records, or social media, with malicious intent.[19][20] It has become a mainstream hazard. Surveys suggest roughly 4% of American adults—about 11.7 million people—have been doxxed, and more than half of adults now avoid posting political views online for fear of it.[21] Pew Research found four in ten Americans have experienced online harassment in some form, and severe harassment including threats and stalking has risen sharply; politics is the top reason people believe they were targeted.[22] Doxxing leads to real‑world harm: harassment, stalking, vandalism, job loss, and, in extreme cases, physical danger. The tactic is often paired with swatting, which weaponizes law enforcement response, creating scenarios where someone could easily be injured or killed when police arrive primed for violence at a residence over a fabricated emergency.[23][24] This is why the Department of Homeland Security published multilingual resources for individuals to mitigate doxxing risk—privacy hygiene, takedown requests, documentation, and reporting—because the hazard is not a niche edge case; it’s an everyday vulnerability in a data‑brokered world.[25][26]

If you want case studies, there are plenty. After the Dobbs draft leak in May 2022, groups publicized the home addresses of conservative Supreme Court justices and organized rolling protests outside those residences.[27][28] Virginia and Maryland governors called for enforcement of 18 U.S.C. § 1507, the federal law barring demonstrations aimed at influencing judges in or near their residences, and legal scholars noted the statute is constitutional under the logic of Cox v. Louisiana and related cases distinguishing protests targeted at judicial decision‑making from general public speech.[29][30][31] House Judiciary Republicans pressed the Justice Department for briefings and enforcement, documenting home protests and bounties for real‑time location data of justices.[32] And the armed would‑be assassin at Justice Kavanaugh’s home wasn’t a myth; it was an arrest with detailed evidence of intent.[12] Regardless of partisan preference, anyone with a sense of what judicial independence requires can see the problem. You don’t need to carry a law degree to understand that “mob law is the antithesis of due process,” as the Court wrote decades ago.[30]

Consider the media ecosystem. Whether you support or oppose the content, the controversy surrounding the outing of the “Libs of TikTok” account in 2022 showcased both sides of the doxxing debate: critics accused The Washington Post of doxxing the account operator; defenders framed it as legitimate reporting on a powerful influencer.[33][34][35] The episode itself fueled online pile‑ons, family door‑knocking, Times Square billboards, and more—evidence of how identity exposure now functions as a tactic to mobilize harassment, reputational harm, and, in some cases, physical intimidation.[36][37] Move to protest reporting: conservative journalist Andy Ngo has been repeatedly targeted and physically assaulted covering protests in Portland; while one jury in 2023 found some defendants not liable, other defendants defaulted and were ordered to pay $300,000 for assault, battery, and intentional infliction of emotional distress, and the U.S. Press Freedom Tracker documented the injuries and the pattern of targeting.[38][39][40][41] You can disagree with his coverage, his framing, or his politics. That doesn’t change the reality that violence was used—and that the tactic aims not at debate but at deterrence.

Swatting is the sharper edge of this blade. In late 2023 and into 2024, swatting attacks targeted elected officials and public figures across parties—including Christmas Day incidents against Sen. Tommy Tuberville, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, and others—followed by further waves into January, with subsequent federal indictments of foreign nationals for threats and false information.[42] Reporting cataloged hundreds of cases of political violence since January 6, including threats to election workers and public officials, with a rising use of intimidation tactics and fentanyl‑laced mail to offices.[43][44] By 2025, news outlets documented a new spate of swatting directed at conservative media figures and commentators; the FBI publicly acknowledged the trend and said it was investigating.[45][46][47] Some of these accounts are partisan, some editorialized, but the common denominator is not ideology; it’s the escalation of tactics to make people fear speaking or serving. That’s the line we’re crossing repeatedly.

So back to the holiday question: why so many guns, why the defensive posture, why the wariness at a stoplight? The honest answer is that after decades confronting radical intimidation—labor agitation that spills into private threats, targeted campaigns to hurt families, road‑rage entrapments—you stop treating it as a moral fable and you start treating it as risk management. In Ohio, the law recognizes you don’t have to retreat if you’re in a place you have a right to be: Senate Bill 175, effective April 6, 2021, eliminated the duty to retreat and clarified the burden of proof, while Ohio Revised Code § 2901.05 presumes self‑defense when someone unlawfully enters your residence or vehicle.[48][49][50][51] “Stand your ground” is not a license to escalate; it’s a legal recognition that you may use proportional defensive force when you reasonably believe you face imminent serious harm, without first being required to flee.[52][53] The prosecution bears the burden to disprove self‑defense beyond a reasonable doubt when there is evidence supporting the claim.[48] The instruction is precise: don’t start the fight, don’t use unreasonable force, but don’t let a criminal threat define your fate. That’s not bravado; that’s statutory language.

For those who have not endured doxxing in the real world, it might sound dramatic to talk about every room armed, every trip armed, every stoplight scanned. But the reality is that doxxing shrinks the buffer zones people rely on for privacy and safety. If your address is repeatedly published, if strangers show up at your house to shout threats, if camera crews lurk at your driveway, if people try your door handles and peer into windows, those are not expressions of speech; they are acts of intimidation and sometimes of criminal conduct. In Ohio, if someone unlawfully enters your occupied vehicle, the law presumes your defensive force was justified; that presumption exists for a reason—to prevent victims from being second‑guessed into paralysis.[48] And while each fact pattern matters, the principle holds: defensive readiness is not mania; it’s the sober conclusion of years spent dealing with people who believe fear is a legitimate political tool.

Why does the left’s radical edge rely so heavily on tactics like doxxing? Because it collapses distance. It shortens the time from a post to a porch. It transforms speech into confrontation at scale. Alinsky’s theory was that agitation “vents hostilities,” forces institutions to accommodate demands, and conditions targets to yield when noise gets high enough.[54][13] In our digital environment, that agitation is algorithmic and archival; it can mobilize instantly and persist indefinitely. The result is that ordinary civic actors—school board members, judges, election staff, journalists, donors—face targeted campaigns in their private lives, and many are quitting. Princeton’s Bridging Divides Initiative released a dataset capturing hundreds of threats and harassment incidents targeting local officials nationwide since 2022 and found events rising year‑over‑year and dispersed across nearly every state; they warn that civic spaces are being normalized to hostility.[55] West Point’s Combating Terrorism Center reviewed federal charges from 2013–2024 and found threats to public officials nearly doubled, driven by ideologically motivated actors; preliminary 2024 data suggested new record highs.[56] The Center for Strategic and International Studies cataloged domestic terrorism plots against government targets and found a dramatic increase since 2016, including attacks against elected officials motivated by partisan grievance.[57] This isn’t hyperbole; it’s the statistical backdrop to your holiday lunch.

What does a healthy society do with that backdrop? It doesn’t tell targets to hide. It doesn’t say “stop talking and they’ll leave you alone.” It sets standards for lawful protest and enforces them. It distinguishes between petitions to government and pressure campaigns at private residences intended to influence rulings or votes. It enforces statutes like 18 U.S.C. § 1507 when the intent element is satisfied—a narrow law designed to protect the independence of the judiciary.[7][36][39] It recognizes doxxing as a form of technology‑facilitated violence, not merely “speech,” and updates state codes where necessary to criminalize malicious dissemination of personally identifiable information when paired with threats or harassment, while preserving legitimate reporting and accountability journalism.[16][19] It treats swatting as the attempted lethal use of law enforcement and imposes serious penalties—twenty years in some precedents where deaths occurred from false calls; federal investigations and international cooperation are already underway where foreign actors are involved.[24][42] And it trains citizens practically: privacy hygiene, data broker opt outs, situational awareness, contact protocols with local law enforcement, and documentation.[25][26]

Some will say that armed readiness escalates risk. The answer is that readiness isn’t escalation; misuse is. If you carry, train. If you defend, do it within the law: proportionality, imminence, no initial aggression. Study the elements and jury instructions; they exist for a reason.[50][54] Remember that the point is not to “win a fight”; it’s to preserve life and liberty in a society where intimidation is being tested as policy. The rule of law is not reinforced by retreating from public space. It’s reinforced by participating vigorously and refusing to let mobs define the boundaries of speech. When someone says, “Why not just ignore it?” the reply is: because silence is often the objective. They doxx you to make you mute. They swat you to make you fear your own home. They crowd your driveway to make you cave. Every line of statute and case law that protects private residences and recognizes self‑defense exists to keep the conversation going, not to end it.

I don’t romanticize conflict. I prefer production to protest, contracts to chants, negotiation to theatrics. But if you challenge entrenched interests—public‑sector unions, radical activist cells, political patronage networks—some will test you at the edges: at your windows, at your stoplights, at your side doors. Over time you stop taking it personally and start treating it as maintenance. You document. You report. You opt out of data brokers. You invest in lighting, cameras, and training. You meet local officers and share phone numbers. You file complaints when lines are crossed. And you stay engaged. Because in the end, intimidation tactics corrode institutions only if they work. Every time they fail, the tactic loses power. Every time someone doxxes and gets silence in return, they’ll do it again. Every time someone doxxes and gets lawful resistance and prosecutorial consequences, the tactic loses shine.

If you’re reading this as a Republican who dreads confrontation, understand that your discomfort is exactly what the tactic seeks to leverage. You don’t have to become a “street fighter” to push back; you just have to become a disciplined citizen who knows the law, asserts your rights, and refuses to concede your private space to political theater. It’s not about swagger. It’s about keeping civic life normal. Judges should not be pressured at home over pending opinions; we have codes, ethics rules, and legal processes for that.[7][31] Journalists should not be beaten for coverage even if you dislike their editorial line; press freedom norms and assault statutes exist to prevent that.[40][41] Election workers should not receive fentanyl‑laced letters or doxxed phone lists; we have criminal laws for that and should fund the protection of local offices.[44][49] And families should not be forced to choose between speech and safety. The law exists to make that a false choice. Use it.

If you still wonder why someone like me treats doxxing as an “opportunity,” it’s because intimidation reveals intent—and intent clarifies response. When someone shows up at your window with a threat, they’re making a legal mistake. When someone posts your address with a call to harass, they’re making a legal mistake. When someone calls the police with a false emergency to trigger a SWAT response, they’re making a potentially lethal legal mistake. Every one of those mistakes creates a trail, and every trail is a chance to enforce norms. That’s not vigilante justice; that’s the civic feedback loop. And if more people participated in it—opted out of fear, opted into law—the chaos would recede. That’s not naïve. It’s work. But it works.

So to the friends who ask why the car is set up the way it is, why the house looks like a training facility, why the daily routines read like checklists, the answer is that it’s easier to live joyfully when preparedness is a habit. I’d rather shoot recreationally than defensively. I’d rather build than guard. But I’d also rather be alive and free. You don’t have to love conflict to be good at living through it. You just have to refuse to let people who love chaos define the terms of your life. And if more rule‑minded citizens made that refusal loudly and lawfully, our politics would be calmer, not hotter.

In the end, Republicans aren’t “afraid” of conflict. They’re allergic to lawlessness. That’s why intimidation often works—once. And that’s why it stops working when the targets read the statutes, log the evidence, and enforce the boundary between protest and persecution. The radicals will keep trying; agitation is their model. But order is a model, too. The best answer to doxxing isn’t censorship. It’s bright legal lines, practiced citizens, and consequences for people who turn speech into menace. That’s not rhetoric. That’s the operating manual. And it’s written in a language anyone can learn.  So don’t be afraid.  Use the laws we have to ensure we have a good world to live in. 

Footnotes

[1] Pew Research Center, “The State of Online Harassment,” Jan. 13, 2021 (politics cited as top reason for harassment); link.[22]

[2] CSIS, “The Rising Threat of Anti-Government Domestic Terrorism,” Oct. 21, 2024; link.[57]

[3] DHS Office of Partnership and Engagement, “Resources for Individuals on the Threat of Doxing” (Infographic), Jan. 16, 2024; link.[26]

[4] Emerald Insight (Anderson & Wood), “Doxxing: A Scoping Review and Typology,” 2021; link.[16]

[5] NAAG Journal, “The Escalating Threats of Doxxing and Swatting,” Aug. 12, 2025; link.[23]

[6] Wikipedia summary of swatting against American politicians, Dec. 2023–Jan. 2024, and DOJ indictments, Aug. 2024; link.[42]

[7] 18 U.S.C. § 1507 (picketing or parading near judge’s residences); Cornell LII; link.[35]

[8] PolitiFact, “Is it legal to protest outside justices’ homes? The law suggests no,” May 13, 2022; link.[37]

[9] Reason/Volokh Conspiracy, “Federal Statute Bans Picketing Judges’ Residences,” May 6, 2022; link.[36]

[10] DOJ Office of Legislative Affairs memos referencing SCOTUS threats briefings & §1507 post‑Dobbs leak (June–Aug. 2022), link.[25]

[11] MTSU First Amendment Encyclopedia, “Picketing Outside the Homes of Judges and Justices,” Aug. 11, 2023 (notes governors’ calls for enforcement), link.[39]

[12] House Judiciary Committee GOP press release, “Judiciary Committee Raises Concerns on Safety of Supreme Court Justices,” July 23, 2024 (details Kavanaugh plot and home protests), link.[26]

[13] Chicago Magazine, “Conservatives Might Agree With Hillary Clinton’s Thesis on Saul Alinsky,” July 20, 2016; link.[4]

[14] Wikipedia, “Hillary Rodham Senior Thesis,” summary of Alinsky framing and Clinton’s critique; link.[2]

[15] PolitiFact, “What Ben Carson said about Hillary Clinton, Saul Alinsky and Lucifer,” July 20, 2016; link.[3]

[16] Skeptics StackExchange, analysis of the Lucifer epigraph vs. dedication myth (cites book text); link.[6]

[17] Heritage Foundation Commentary, “Refusing to Prosecute Those Protesting at Supreme Court Justices’ Homes Is Inexcusable,” June 1, 2022; link.[27]

[18] Syracuse Law Review, “Protests by Abortion Advocates at Justices’ Homes,” May 19, 2022; link.[28]

[19] DHS OPE Infographic defining doxing and mitigation steps; link.[32]

[20] Abuse Refuge Org, “Doxing and Privacy Violations: The Weaponization of Personal Information,” Apr. 25, 2025; link.[33]

[21] SafeHome.org, “2025 Doxxing Report,” Oct. 24, 2025 (prevalence, fear of posting politics), link.[14]

[22] Pew Research Center, “The State of Online Harassment,” Jan. 13, 2021; link.[13]

[23] NAAG Journal (Wang), “Doxxing and Swatting—Legal Responses,” Aug. 12, 2025; link.[15]

[24] Case example: Wichita swatting death; general sentencing coverage summarized in NAAG Journal; link.[15]

[25] DHS Resource Page “Resources for Individuals on the Threat of Doxing,” update listings in multiple languages, Apr. 8, 2024; link.[18]

[26] DHS OPE Infographic PDF, Jan. 16, 2024; link.[32]

[27] Fox News, “Far-left activists targeting politicians’, judges’ homes…,” May 6, 2022 (documents “Ruth Sent Us” addresses publication); link.[29]

[28] Law & Crime, “Can Protesters Be Arrested for Picketing Supreme Court Homes?” May 12, 2022; link.[38]

[29] Reason/Volokh discussion of §1507 and Cox v. Louisiana; link.[36]

[30] PolitiFact analysis of §1507 intent requirement and First Amendment balance; link.[37]

[31] MTSU First Amendment Encyclopedia overview and statute text; link.[39]

[32] House Judiciary GOP press release documenting protests and bounty offers; link.[26]

[33] AllSides explainer, “Was Libs of TikTok Doxxed by The Washington Post?” Apr. 20, 2022; link.[8]

[34] Newsweek coverage of Libs of TikTok controversy, Apr. 20–21, 2022; link.[7]

[35] Fox News coverage criticizing WaPo/Lorenz (editorial), Apr. 19, 2022; link.[10]

[36] WND/The Western Journal article on billboard response (opinion), Apr. 28, 2022; link.[11]

[37] DOJ memos acknowledging SCOTUS threats briefings post‑Dobbs leak; link.[25]

[38] Portland Mercury report on 2023 jury verdict (two defendants not liable), Aug. 9, 2023; link.[44]

[39] Newsweek, “Conservative Journalist Gets $300,000 After ‘Antifa’ Assault,” Aug. 22, 2023 (default judgments), link.[41]

[40] U.S. Press Freedom Tracker incident record (Ngo assault), updated Aug. 21, 2023; link.[45]

[41] The Post Millennial recap of civil case and counsel rhetoric (biased outlet), Aug. 8, 2023; link.[40]

[42] Wikipedia compilation, “Swatting of American politicians (2023–2024),” plus DOJ indictments of foreign nationals, Aug. 2024; link.[21]

[43] ABC News, “Election officials continue to face threats, harassment…,” July 25, 2024 (King County doxxing; fentanyl letters; Brennan Center commentary); link.[49]

[44] Wikipedia, “Political violence in the 2024 U.S. presidential election” (compilation of incidents & context), Oct. 2024; link.[50]

[45] Fox News, “FBI investigating rise in swatting incidents…,” Mar. 14, 2025; link.[24]

[46] Shooting News Weekly, “Swatting… continues across the country,” Mar. 16, 2025 (partisan framing but incident citations); link.[20]

[47] Scene in America, “The Rising Threat of Swatting… targeting conservative voices,” Mar. 17, 2025 (commentary), link.[19]

[48] Ohio Rev. Code § 2901.05 (burden of proof; castle doctrine presumption), effective Apr. 6, 2021; link.[52]

[49] Hiltner Trial Lawyers explainer on Ohio Stand Your Ground (SB 175), Mar. 5, 2025; link.[56]

[50] Ohio Jury Instructions CR 421.21 (self‑defense, deadly force, elements & burden), rev. Nov. 16, 2019 (updated context post‑statute change); link.[54]

[51] Graham Law summary, Ohio Stand Your Ground law effects and elements; link.[55]

[52] Patrick M. Farrell Co. LPA, “Ohio Self-Defense Laws Explained,” Aug. 19, 2025 (imminence; proportionality; no duty to retreat); link.[53]

[53] Green Bay Crime Reports explainer (overview of Ohio self-defense evolution; no duty to retreat), Aug. 11, 2025; link.[57]

[54] Chicago Magazine analysis of Alinsky method and agitation as tactic; link.[4]

[55] Princeton BDI Threats & Harassment Dataset launch, Apr. 11, 2024; link.[47]

[56] Combating Terrorism Center (West Point), “Rising Threats to Public Officials,” May 2024; link.[48]

[57] CSIS domestic terrorism brief, Oct. 21, 2024; link.[46]

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

Great Work by the Ohio Senate with S.B. 56: Pot is an intoxicant pushed by a lot of very evil people for destructive efforts

Ohio did not wander into marijuana legalization by accident. In November 2023, “Issue 2” passed as an initiated statute—not a constitutional amendment—garnering 57.19% of the vote and creating the Division of Cannabis Control, adult-use possession limits (2.5 oz. plant material, 15 g extract), home grow allowances (six plants per adult, twelve per household), and a 10% excise tax earmarked for funds including a Cannabis Social Equity and Jobs Fund and a Host Community Fund. From the moment ballots were tallied, the legislature retained authority to revise the statute, and it has now exercised that prerogative with SB 56, sending a decisive message: legalization was not a blank check to normalize intoxication in public and erode the standards on which a productive society depends. 123

SB 56 is not a symbolic gesture; it is a comprehensive rewrite that merges adult-use regulation into the existing medical marijuana framework (Chapter 3796), tightens public-use rules, criminalizes possession of cannabis sourced outside Ohio’s regulated market, caps THC potency, limits dispensary proliferation, and corrals intoxicating hemp products into licensed dispensaries or off the shelves entirely. The bill passed the Senate 22–7 and was transmitted to Governor DeWine in December 2025; sponsors include Senators Stephen Huffman, Andrew Brenner, Jerry Cirino, Bill Reineke, Michele Reynolds, and Tim Schaffer, among others. The enrolled text enumerates dozens of amendments to the Revised Code covering cannabis, hemp, licensing, taxation, traffic safety, and criminal penalties. 456

Public consumption is the fulcrum of SB 56’s philosophy: it prohibits knowingly consuming adult-use marijuana in public places—including edibles—elevating violations to a minor misdemeanor (generally up to $150), and clarifies that smoking, combustion, and vaping are off-limits in public and in vehicles for drivers and passengers. That is a vital boundary: a society can tolerate private vice better than it can accept public intoxication that normalizes impaired judgment and degrades civic spaces. Analysts noted that Issue 2 had permitted public consumption of non-smoked products; SB 56 explicitly revokes that opening and reasserts a standard. 78

Sourcing rules are equally consequential. Under SB 56, possession protections attach only to marijuana purchased from Ohio-licensed dispensaries or grown in compliance with Ohio’s home-grow rules. Possessing a product purchased legally in another state—say, Michigan—no longer enjoys adult-use protections in Ohio. The Legislature’s own analyses and practitioner summaries are blunt on this point: legal possession is tied to lawful Ohio sourcing, not out-of-state retail receipts. This is common-sense regulation in a federal patchwork where testing standards, labeling, and product integrity vary by jurisdiction. 910

Potency caps are another pillar. Today’s commercial cannabis bears little resemblance to 1970s “Woodstock weed.” Federal monitoring data show average THC in seized plant material rising from ~4% in 1995 to >16% by 2022; retail flower routinely pushes 20–30%, while concentrates are engineered at 70–95% THC. SB 56 draws lines: ~35% THC cap on flower and ~70% on concentrates, aligning the marketplace with public-health prudence and signaling that ultra-potent products are not compatible with a sober, functional workforce. This is not arbitrary—higher potency correlates with more acute impairment, increased risk of cannabis hyperemesis syndrome (CHS), withdrawal, and psychotic episodes. 111213

Dispensary caps matter for the look and feel of communities. SB 56 limits adult-use dispensaries statewide (reports cite caps at 350–400 in different iterations, with the final bill limiting to 400). Flooding corridors with neon signs and head-shop aesthetics telegraphs decline, not aspiration. The cap restrains density, reduces nuisance clustering, and protects municipalities from becoming consumption districts. Policymakers publicly framed the cap as an adjustment to voter-passed legalization that preserves the “crux” of adult use while curbing externalities. 1415

Transportation and packaging rules also tighten: open cannabis and paraphernalia must be stowed in the trunk (or behind the last upright seat if no trunk), and possession outside original packaging can trigger enforcement. These seem technical, but the intent is clear—deter casual, on-the-go use and preserve bright lines for officers in the field. 8

Intoxicating hemp (delta-8/10/THC acetate and high-THC “hemp” beverages) receives a hard reset. SB 56 bans intoxicating hemp products outside licensed dispensaries, grants a narrow, time-limited window for low-dose THC beverages (5 mg per container) until Dec 31, 2026, and pushes packaging out of child-friendly aesthetics. This harmonizes state law with emerging federal changes and halts a “gas station gummy” explosion that bypassed age gates and QA testing. Lawmakers and industry representatives alike described the hemp section as necessary for consumer safety and marketplace integrity; opponents raised small-business concerns, but the General Assembly prioritized public protection. 1617

The bill’s fiscal architecture retains the 10% excise tax and unlocks host community funds—direct dollars to municipalities that shoulder the on-the-ground realities of cannabis retail. SB 56 includes expungement pathways for certain prior possession offenses while rolling back the social utilization program established under Issue 2. Supporters argue this trades a politicized social apparatus for cleaner, safety-first regulation and targeted community benefit. 18

All of that is the rule of law. But the “why” goes deeper: intoxication is not neutral. It carries measurable costs.

Start with prevalence. Cannabis is the most commonly used federally illegal drug; 52.5 million Americans (~19%) used it at least once in 2021. Approximately three in ten users meet criteria for cannabis use disorder (CUD), with a higher risk for those who begin before age 18. Daily/near-daily use now rivals daily alcohol consumption in some surveys. This is not a minor recreational drift; it’s a mass market of chronic intoxication. 19

Potency trends mean today’s “average” intoxication dose is not the 5–10 mg oral or 5–10% smoked THC of older research literature; it’s 20–30% flower and 70–95% concentrates, pushing psychomotor, memory, and attention deficits well past prior baselines. Population and lab evidence consistently show dose-dependent impairment in reaction time, lane-keeping, divided attention, and executive function—core components of safe driving and productive labor. 1319

On the road, self-reported DUI of marijuana is measurable and persistent: ~4.5–6% of drivers admit to driving within an hour of use in national surveys; in a multi-center trauma study, 25% of seriously injured drivers tested positive for marijuana. While alcohol remains the leading impairment factor, drug-positive drivers have risen, and the presence of marijuana among fatally injured drivers doubled between 2007 and 2016. There is no widely accepted per se THC limit because blood levels correlate poorly with impairment, but the behavioral risk is not ambiguous. SB 56’s clamp on public use and in-vehicle consumption is the right lever where measurement is messy, but impairment signaling is clear. 202122

Emergency departments are seeing the other end of high-potency normalization. National surveillance shows cannabis-involved ED visits among youth spiking during and after the pandemic, including significant increases among children ≤10 from accidental ingestion and notable rises among females aged 11–14. Colorado’s specific monitoring regime documents ED and hospitalization trends linked to cannabis exposures, CHS, and psychiatric presentations. As states liberalize, youth exposure follows unless countermeasures are enforced: packaging, storage, and public norms. SB 56’s bans on child-attractive packaging, public edibles, and retail placement of intoxicating hemp are a direct intervention at those weak points. 232425

Brain health is not guesswork. A 2025 scoping review across 99 neuroimaging studies found the majority reported differences in brain structure, function, or metabolites among adolescent/young adult cannabis users versus controls; reviews consistently find attention, executive function, memory, and learning deficits associated with regular use. Longitudinal twin analyses point toward causal harm to academic functioning and young-adult socioeconomic outcomes—lower GPA, motivation, increased school discipline—distinct from shared familial risk factors. Potency, age of onset, and cumulative exposure matter; that is precisely why potency caps and public-use boundaries are rational guardrails rather than moral panic. 262728

Economic realities cut both ways. Pro-legalization advocates tout tax revenue and jobs, and those dollars are real: Colorado has collected more than $3.05 billion in marijuana tax and fee revenue since 2014, including $255 million in 2024 and $179.9 million (Jan–Sep) in 2025. But revenue is a gross measure—what matters is net social cost. When Colorado Christian University’s Centennial Institute attempted to price health, school dropout, and other impacts, they found a preliminary, conservative ratio: for every $1 in tax revenue, Coloradans spent approximately $4.50 to mitigate harms. Methodological debates will continue, but policymakers cannot responsibly ignore negative externalities. SB 56’s design—public-use bans, potency caps, density limits, sourcing rules—targets precisely the drivers of those costs. 2930  What good is $3 billion in additional revenue if you destroy $10 billion in economic potential of total GDP. 

And the “pot economy” promises more than it can deliver. Industry estimates highlight billions in national tax revenues and hundreds of thousands of jobs, but such macro glosses often obscure local burdens—ER throughput, traffic-safety enforcement, youth prevention budgets, and neighborhood effects from retail clustering. Even legalization-friendly policy briefs acknowledge that implementation costs, regulatory overhead, and the persistence of illicit markets can erode gains, and that poorly calibrated taxes or potency rules can backfire. Ohio’s SB 56 approach is to build a tighter, safer market—fewer stores, lower potency ceilings, stricter sourcing, and more disciplined packaging and advertising—so the external costs don’t swamp the fiscal benefits. 3132

Critics charge that SB 56 ignores “the will of the voters,” but initiated statutes in Ohio are subject to legislative revision. Voters did not approve open public intoxication or hand the state an obligation to subsidize the cannabis industry’s highest-THC, highest-margin product tiers. They voted for adult possession and regulated commerce—SB 56 preserves those cores while curbing the excesses that degrade civic life. Legislative leaders defended the bill as consumer protection (child-targeted packaging bans, edibles in public, hemp beverage guardrails) and marketplace integrity (out-of-state possession tied to testing discrepancies); opposition voices warned of litigation and industry disruption. That debate is part of the process.  Pot legalization was slid under the door with a lot of out of state money to erode the nature of Ohio as a state to a more progressive standard, so the friction is needed to push back against that incursion.  But when the balance tips toward normalizing public intoxication and tolerating ultra-potent products, the state is obligated to correct course. 416

For employers, SB 56 clarifies what serious shop floors already practice: the right to enforce drug-free workplace policies remains intact. In aerospace, defense, machining, healthcare, and logistics—domains where reaction time, precision, and judgment are non-negotiable—cannabis normalization is a direct threat to throughput, safety, and customer trust. Adult-use legality does not equate to on-the-job allowance, and Ohio’s framework preserves the employer’s authority to set standards aligned with mission-critical quality. 33

Even details like “gifting” are tightened with purpose: transfer only on private residential/agricultural property, no remuneration, and daily caps. That cuts a channel commonly abused to skirt retail regulations and undermines quasi-gray-market distribution that spills into public parks and shared spaces. Likewise, the trunk rule for transport is procedural clarity—so routine stops don’t devolve into ambiguous encounters where either drivers or officers must guess at compliance. 9

Some will ask, does limiting dispensaries or capping THC “really” reduce harm? Look at youth ED signals and impaired driving self-report trends: the more visible and available the intoxicant, the more normalized the behavior. Boundary-setting creates friction in the pipeline—fewer points of easy purchase, fewer high-potency products attracting heavy users, fewer cues that “everyone is doing it.” In public-health terms, these are environmental interventions; in cultural terms, they are standards. 2321

Others will argue that hemp beverages at 5 mg THC per container are tame. But the lesson from senior ED spikes and accidental pediatric ingestions is simple: edible formats carry unique dosing and delayed-onset risks. Allowing a narrow, time-bound exception while the federal position stabilizes, and then revisiting guardrails, is conservative governance—limit exposure now, collect data, and calibrate later if warranted. 1116

Ohio’s reform also removes the “social equity program” infrastructure set up by Issue 2 and instead routes dollars to host communities. There are competing visions here. One approach tries to engineer market participation by demographic; another funds the municipalities dealing with traffic, policing, and neighborhood quality-of-life issues. SB 56 chooses the latter—arguably the more immediate public good. 18

It bears repeating: the brain is the target of cannabis. THC acts on CB1 receptors, modulating memory and executive function. Adolescents and young adults—still wiring frontal networks—are the danger zone. Longitudinal and neuroimaging research consistently finds functional and structural differences in regular users (hippocampus, prefrontal cortex, memory circuits), and twin studies find cannabis linked to lower educational attainment and income even when shared genetic/environmental factors are controlled. Potency caps and public-use restrictions are therefore not “morality laws”; they are harm-minimization laws rooted in neurobiology and cohort data. 272628

Finally, consider culture. The productive society you champion—builders, operators, craftspeople, engineers, nurses, pilots—depends on attentional control, planning horizons, and the capacity to endure discomfort without reaching for chemical shortcuts. Normalizing intoxication erodes those virtues. A legal framework that tolerates adult possession in private but bars public consumption, curbs ultra-potent products, regulates paraphernalia, and limits store density aligns with the cultural imperative to keep minds turned on. SB 56 does that. It is a rollback not of liberty, but of license—the difference between ordered freedom and entropy.

FOOTNOTES

1. Ohio Issue 2 (2023) passed with 57.19% approval, legalizing adult possession (2.5 oz plant, 15 g extract), home grow (six plants per adult, 12 per household), and establishing a Division of Cannabis Control with a 10% excise tax and designated funds. As an initiated statute, it is subject to legislative revision. 1343

2. SB 56 merges adult-use into Ohio’s medical framework (Chapter 3796), criminalizes out-of-state sourced marijuana possession, bans public consumption, including edibles, sets trunk/packaging transport rules, caps THC potency (~35% flower, ~70% concentrates), and limits dispensaries to 400. Sponsors include Sens. Stephen Huffman, Andrew Brenner, Jerry Cirino, Bill Reineke, Michele Reynolds, and Tim Schaffer. Passed Senate 22–7; sent to the Governor in December 2025, they did a very good job. 654

3. Analysts highlighted that Issue 2 had allowed public consumption of non-smoked products; SB 56 revokes that. Minor misdemeanor penalties (up to $150) attach to public consumption and specific in-vehicle uses. 7

4. Practitioner guidance explains SB 56’s sourcing rule: only Ohio-dispensary purchases or compliant home-grown marijuana enjoy adult-use possession protections; out-of-state purchases do not. 9

5. THC potency rose from ~4% (1995) to >16% (2022) in seized plant material; concentrates frequently exceed 70–90%. High potency is associated with increased risk of CHS, withdrawal, and psychosis. 121113

6. SB 56’s dispensary cap (400) and density controls were publicly discussed throughout 2025; summer committee pauses, and final passage reflect negotiations and adjustments. 1415

7. Intoxicating hemp restrictions: ban outside licensed dispensaries, authorize 5 mg THC beverages only through 12/31/2026, align with federal changes, and deter child-targeted packaging. 16

8. National cannabis use: 52.5 million users in 2021; ~30% of users meet CUD criteria; higher risk when initiation occurs before age 18; cannabis affects brain systems for memory, attention, decision-making, coordination, emotion, and reaction time. 19

9. DUI data: ~4.5–6% of drivers self-report driving within an hour of cannabis use; 25% of seriously injured drivers in a trauma study tested positive for marijuana; drug-positive drivers increased over time; marijuana presence among fatally injured drivers doubled from 2007 to 2016. 202122

10. Youth ED visits surged for cannabis-involved presentations during 2020–2022, with significant increases among children ≤10 from accidental ingestion and notable rises among females 11–14; Colorado’s monitoring infrastructure documents related ED/hospital trends and exposures. 232425

11. Neurocognition: scoping and review literature find differences in adolescent/young-adult cannabis users’ brain structure and function; consistent impairments in attention, executive function, memory, and learning; longitudinal twin studies tie adolescent cannabis use to lower GPA, motivation, and worse socioeconomic outcomes in young adulthood, beyond familial confounds. 262728

12. Colorado revenues vs costs: $3.05 billion in marijuana tax/fee revenue since 2014; preliminary cost estimates suggest ~$4.50 in social costs per $1 revenue (healthcare, dropouts, etc.). Policymakers must weigh net impacts. 2930

13. Employer rights: SB 56 clarifies that employers may maintain drug-free workplace policies; adult-use legality does not confer workplace protection. 33

14. “Gifting,” transport, and packaging rules: transfer only on private residential/agricultural property, no remuneration, daily caps; trunk storage required; possession outside original packaging restricted—measures that reduce gray-market vectors and public consumption cues. 98

Ohio has chosen a line: adult-use possession remains, but public intoxication does not; commerce continues, but ultra-potent products do not set the norm; retail exists, but it does not swamp neighborhoods. That is the beginning of a cultural course correction—a reassertion that citizenship is a sober vocation, not an endless search for chemical ease. SB 56 puts Ohio back on the side of human agency, disciplined minds, and the dignity of productive work.  Further, there is nothing good about a state, country, or society that consumes intoxicants at any level.  Especially marijuana.  Only people who want to destroy our world want pot legalized in any way, and to turn the human race into a mass of fools, easy to conquer.  Good on the Ohio Senate, and the legislative process for taking this very important step that the entire nation should be following. 

Rich Hoffman

Click Here to Protect Yourself with Second Call Defense https://www.secondcalldefense.org/?affiliate=20707

Thank Goodness for the Predator Poachers: The world needs more people like Alex Rosen

The December 2025 arrest of a Christ Hospital scheduler in Cincinnati, following a filmed confrontation by the citizen group Predator Poachers, has become a focal case for debating how modern communities should respond to the immense scale and evolving dynamics of child sexual exploitation online and offline. In the incident, local coverage documented that a 31‑year‑old employee, Benjamin Naylor, was charged with three counts of pandering sexually oriented material involving a minor and one count of illegal use of a minor in a nudity‑oriented performance after police intervened following a videotaped encounter outside a hospital facility; the hospital confirmed immediate termination and cooperation with law enforcement. 1 In companion reporting, Predator Poachers’ founder, Alex Rosen, described how his team tracked online activity, confronted Naylor at the workplace, elicited admissions on camera, and then contacted police; local court documents referenced the regional electronics investigations unit, underscoring the role of formal multi‑agency coordination once a citizen tip triggers official action. 23

The case illustrates the messy frontier where citizen “predator‑hunting” content intersects professional criminal investigations. On the one hand, watchdog groups can function as high‑visibility tip generators, producing leads that law enforcement may otherwise not receive as quickly; on the other hand, police departments have repeatedly warned that unsanctioned stings can create safety risks, contaminate evidentiary chains, and imperil prosecutions. This tension was evident in the 2025 Branson, Missouri episode, where Rosen himself was arrested during a restaurant confrontation and later received probation for a disturbance; police emphasized the primacy of trained investigators, lawful procedures, and prosecutable evidence, even while acknowledging that some private groups are dedicated to protecting victims. 45 There is nothing less safe than in letting predators get away with the crimes even if the professionals paid to do the job can’t get to the cases in time to save kids.  If not for people like Rosen, how many kids would have been saved because he and his organization do the work that the professionals don’t have time for?  The Cincinnati arrest thus points to a practical equilibrium: citizen content may catalyze attention and yield tips, but sustainable enforcement rests on institutional capacity, formal task forces, and prosecutorial standards that will withstand judicial scrutiny. 3  And that may not be the desired outcome, because based on my own grand jury experience on these matters, we don’t have time to wait for professional institutions to expand their capacity to the enormity of the problem.  We need more Rosens in the world, for sure.

To understand the enforcement backbone, it helps to map the architecture that operates primarily out of public view. The Internet Crimes Against Children (ICAC) Task Force Program—funded and coordinated by the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention—supports 61 task forces and more than 5,000 federal, state, local, and Tribal agencies nationwide. In fiscal year 2024 alone, ICAC task forces helped conduct approximately 203,467 investigations, led to more than 12,600 arrests, and trained roughly 46,000 criminal justice professionals. 6 These numbers, staggering as they are, capture the organizational scale needed to process the torrent of digital evidence and to convert leads into lawful warrants, forensic examinations, and prosecutable cases. They also suggest why any model that relies only on citizen stings, rather than specialized units, will be outmatched by the complexity of technology‑facilitated offending.

Parallel infrastructure operates on the reporting side. The National Center for Missing & Exploited Children’s (NCMEC) CyberTipline received 20.5 million reports in 2024—adjusted to about 29.2 million distinct incident submissions once bundled events were de‑duplicated—and these figures remain deeply concerning given recent statutory expansions of mandatory reporting to cover online enticement and child sex trafficking. 7 Such volume escalations reflect how offenders adapt to encrypted platforms, decentralized networks, and rapidly advancing generative tools; they are precisely the kind of workload for which systematized triage, investigative handoffs, and specialized forensics are essential. Enforcement outputs, such as the Department of Justice’s Operation Restore Justice—an FBI‑led nationwide crackdown conducted over five days in May 2025 that resulted in 205 arrests and 115 rescues—show what concentrated, interagency campaigns can achieve when intelligence, victim services, and prosecutorial resources are aligned. 89

Sentencing data illuminate the gravity of production‑ and distribution‑related offenses and the judicial response. According to the U.S. Sentencing Commission’s FY 2024 Quick Facts, sexual‑abuse offenses have increased by 62.5% since FY 2020, with an average sentence of 221 months; production of child pornography cases averaged 273 months, and those involving mandatory minimum penalties averaged 305 months of imprisonment. 10 Beyond the raw years, these figures communicate policy priorities: that federal courts treat the creation and dissemination of child sexual abuse material (CSAM) as among the most severe crimes short of direct contact offenses. The scale, technology, and interstate elements common to such cases make them well-suited to federal prosecution, reinforcing why lasting outcomes depend on the rigor of official investigative processes rather than the drama of public confrontations.  But the problem remains: there are not enough jails to hold all these offenders, and their cost to society is enormous, given the prison terms provided.  And we aren’t coming close to catching them all, not by a long shot.  There aren’t enough law enforcement officers available to perform the task to match the enormity of the problem.

Still, enforcement statistics do not occur in a vacuum. The geography of victimization and offending has long been associated with socioeconomic conditions, a link that modern data reiterate and refine. Bureau of Justice Statistics analysis of the National Crime Victimization Survey (2008–2012) shows that individuals in poor households experienced more than double the rate of nonfatal violent victimization compared to those in high‑income households; firearm‑involved violence was also higher among the poor. 11 A foundational meta‑analysis by Hsieh and Pugh pooled 34 aggregate studies and found that 97% of the zero‑order correlations between violent crime and either poverty or income conditions were positive, with homicide and assault more closely associated than rape or robbery. At the same time, the precise effect sizes vary by covariates, the overall pattern confirms the persistence of the relationship. 12 Complementing that, Pratt and Cullen’s macro‑level meta‑analysis concluded that indicators of concentrated disadvantage (poverty, family disruption, heterogeneity) are among the strongest and most stable predictors of area‑level crime. At the same time, get‑tough variables have comparatively weak and inconsistent effects once structural conditions are considered. 13

The time‑series evidence adds nuance. A review of 17 studies by Rufrancos and colleagues indicates that property crime tends to increase with rising income variation, and specific violent crimes such as homicide and robbery display sensitivity to social standards over time; aggregated violent‑crime measures show inconsistencies likely driven by reporting differences, but the signal remains strongest for offense types with clearer opportunity structures. 14 Policy‑oriented synthesis by Brookings similarly argues that public safety and economic opportunity are intertwined across urban, suburban, and rural America, recommending investment in youth, family supports, and neighborhood revitalization alongside law enforcement. 15 Critics have cautioned against deterministic readings of poverty‑crime relationships by pointing to heterogeneity across demographic groups and cultures, yet the caution itself supports a more granular philosophy: crime does not rise because a single variable shifts but because a constellation of social and situational conditions permits opportunities and reduces guardianship. 16

Situational criminology offers a complementary lens. Routine Activity Theory (RAT), first articulated by Cohen and Felson, proposes that crime occurs when three elements converge in time and space: a motivated offender, a suitable target, and the absence of capable guardianship. In their seminal 1979 analysis, the authors linked postwar social change to increased dispersion of daily activities away from the home, thereby increasing opportunities (targets) while reducing guardianship, even as many socioeconomic indicators improved—a sociological paradox. 17 Contemporary crime‑science research emphasizes spatio‑temporal rhythms—hours of day, seasons, school days versus non‑school days—as crucial dimensions for understanding and preventing offenses, urging analysts to disaggregate crime by time and place to identify high‑risk windows where motivated offenders and unguarded targets are most likely to coincide. 18 Recent empirical work indicates that unstructured spare time, particularly out of home, is a robust predictor of adolescent offending—often rivaling or exceeding traditional predictors—while structured activities and effective place‑management reduce opportunities. 1920  I would add that substantial income paired with too much leisure time is a significant contributor to the problem and is why we find so many sexual perversion cases common among high-income earners with shorter worker hours per week. 

Against this secular framework, many communities also appeal to moral, religious, and cultural narratives to motivate vigilance and civic responsibility. The biblical tradition contains several motifs relevant to civic idleness and social decay without resorting to graphic description. Ezekiel’s diagnosis of Sodom faults the city for pride, excess of food, and prosperous ease, coupled with neglect of the poor—an image of complacent affluence that tracks closely with modern concerns about idle time, conspicuous consumption, and weakened neighborly care. 23 The wisdom literature warns of the slow ruin that flows from idleness: Proverbs exhorts the sluggard to observe the ant who prepares in season, while Ecclesiastes observes that negligence leads to a sagging roof and leaking house; in the New Testament, Paul admonishes early Christian communities not to enable chronic idleness, insisting that others should not subsidize those unwilling to work. 242526

Situating the Cincinnati case within this dual framework—professional enforcement and civic guardianship—points toward practical synthesis. First, jurisdictions should continue strengthening the official channels for reporting and triage, including the CyberTipline and ICAC Task Forces, since the sheer torrent of suspected exploitation demands coordinated investigative capacity and rigorous evidentiary standards. 67 The episodic spectacle of citizen stings may momentarily galvanize public outrage, but without chain‑of‑custody integrity, digital forensics, and lawful interviews, outcomes may falter in court; even advocates of citizen engagement concede that lawful interviews and case construction are non‑negotiable. 4 Second, prosecutors and judges should continue deploying sentence lengths proportionate to the harm involved in production and distribution, endorsing the pattern seen in federal data as a deterrent and as an expression of seriousness aligned with victim rights. 10 Third, city governments and school systems can translate situational theory into design and schedule: expand structured evening and weekend programming for adolescents, target guardianship to high‑risk time blocks, and apply place‑management strategies to venues where exposure and anonymity co‑exist. 18 Fourth, civic leaders should recognize the empirical linkage between disadvantage and victimization without succumbing to fatalism or simplistic causation; invest in youth, family supports, and neighborhood revitalization as partners to enforcement, since both reduced opportunity and strengthened social ties weaken the conditions that exploitation preys upon. 1513

None of this precludes a role for citizen vigilance, but that role must be channeled wisely. The Cincinnati episode demonstrates how citizen video can surface a lead and prompt police response; yet it equally explains why the decisive act—the arrest, charges, and eventual adjudication—belongs to sworn officers and courts. 13 As police advisories note, confrontations can escalate unpredictably, bystanders may be endangered, and suspects may be alerted prematurely; even when the target is arrested, procedural missteps can weaken a case. 4 A safer ethic encourages watchers to collect publicly accessible information, preserve it carefully, and deliver it to authorities, then allow specialized units to conduct interviews, obtain warrants, and secure devices for forensic examination. Such collaboration honors both the community’s desire to protect children and the criminal justice system’s duty to prosecute with integrity.  But even with those legal statements to consider in prosecutions of cases, there is nothing more dangerous than inaction.

The broader crime environment provides context for urgency and hope. Multi‑city analyses indicate violent crime declined across many U.S. cities through mid‑2025, with homicides down about 17% compared to the first half of 2024 in the Council on Criminal Justice sample, and key property offenses also falling; trends are not uniform, and some places remain above 2019 baselines, but the direction suggests that sustained policing and community strategies can move the needle. 2122 The implication for exploitation cases is twofold: first, neither victory nor defeat is foregone, and second, the most effective strategies weave together many threads—rapid interagency action, prevention programs, civic vigilance, and economic opportunity. 15

If one reads Ezekiel’s admonition against prosperous ease alongside Routine Activity Theory’s emphasis on guardianship, a striking consonance emerges. The ancient critique is not a rejection of prosperity or leisure per se, but of complacency that neglects the vulnerable and allows the roof to sag. 2325 The modern theory similarly warns that unstructured spare time and poorly managed spaces constitute opportunity structures that invite harm. 1719 In concrete terms, this means that while we rightly prioritize arresting and sentencing those who produce, trade, or consume CSAM, we also need to rebuild the social and temporal architecture of guardianship: parents, mentors, teachers, coaches, community workers, and place‑managers who ensure that the hours and places where children move are watched, equipped, and purpose‑filled. The Cincinnati case, unsettling as it is, can therefore be read as a summons to strengthen both the formal machinery of justice and the informal networks of neighborly care.

Turning citizen outrage into lasting protection requires reframing the debate. The drama of a cell‑phone confrontation is not the whole of justice, just the start; the hard work of forensic analysis, interagency coordination, and courtroom proof is. 8 The moral energy that motivates citizens is not wasted; it is most helpful when directed through lawful channels that enable the ICAC network and prosecutors to do what they are designed to do at scale. 6 The correlations between disadvantage and victimization are not destiny; they are instructions to policymakers to counteract concentrated risk through economic opportunity and structured guardianship, especially at specific times and places where routine activities and reduced supervision coincide. 1318 And the theological warnings against idleness are not antiquated; they are invitations to cultivate diligence, hospitality, and care for people experiencing poverty, which, in civic practice, look like programming, mentorship, and watchfulness over those who are most exposed. 2426 The lessons reach beyond one hospital’s perimeter and one city’s court docket. They teach that when a community aligns citizen vigilance with professionalized enforcement, when it pairs strategy against opportunity structures with investment in families and neighborhoods, and when it roots its energy in a moral vision that rejects complacency, exploitation becomes harder to commit and easier to prosecute. The path forward is not glamorous, but it is clear: keep the tips flowing to the CyberTipline and local task forces; sustain interagency actions like Operation Restore Justice; maintain sentencing severity for production and distribution; expand structured leisure and guardianship; and attend to the economic and cultural conditions that alter daily routines.  Socialism makes more poor people for instance.  Capitalism builds more wealth, which gives society as a whole more upward mobility and expectations of good conduct. 78101915 If Cincinnati’s unsettling episode is to yield anything more than outrage, it should be this disciplined integration—one that honors both the call to protect children and the rule of law that ultimately secures them.  But ultimately, if it hadn’t been for the Predator Poachers extra work, this child predator case in Cincinnati would have gone unpunished. 13

Footnotes:

1. Cincinnati Enquirer: Predator Poachers says sting led to arrest of Christ Hospital worker (Dec. 9, 2025). https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/crime/2025/12/09/predator-poachers-says-sting-led-to-arrest-of-christ-hospital-worker/87686900007/

2. WCPO: Court docs—Cincinnati man charged after child sexual abuse material allegedly found on phone (Dec. 9, 2025). https://www.wcpo.com/news/local-news/hamilton-county/cincinnati/court-docs-cincinnati-man-charged-after-child-sexual-abuse-material-allegedly-found-on-phone

3. WCPO: National predator-catching group says it helped lead police to Cincinnati man arrested on child porn charges (Dec. 10–11, 2025). https://www.wcpo.com/news/crime/national-predator-catching-group-says-it-helped-lead-police-to-cincinnati-man-arrested-on-child-porn-charges

4. Police1 / Merced Sun-Star: Online vigilante group leader arrested; Branson PD statement on risks (Mar. 30, 2025). https://www.police1.com/arrests-sentencing/articles/online-vigilante-group-leader-arrested-trying-to-take-down-alleged-pedophile-mo-officers-say-XcWQJz8z0qXGTS3f/

5. OzarksFirst: ‘Predator Poachers’ leader sentenced for Branson disturbance (Aug. 26, 2025). https://www.ozarksfirst.com/news/predator-poachers-branson-court/

6. OJJDP ICAC Task Force Program (FY 2024 overview, training, and investigations). https://ojjdp.ojp.gov/programs/internet-crimes-against-children-task-force-program

7. NCMEC CyberTipline Data (2024 report). https://www.missingkids.org/gethelpnow/cybertipline/cybertiplinedata

8. DOJ Press Release: Operation Restore Justice (May 7, 2025). https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-results-operation-restore-justice-205-child-sex-abuse-offenders

9. USA TODAY: Over 200 alleged child sex offenders arrested nationwide after 5-day FBI crackdown (May 7–8, 2025). https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2025/05/07/child-sex-offenders-arrests-fbi/83504362007/

10. U.S. Sentencing Commission: FY24 Quick Facts—Sexual Abuse Offenses. https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/research-and-publications/quick-facts/Sexual_Abuse_FY24.pdf

11. BJS Special Report: Household Poverty and Nonfatal Violent Victimization, 2008–2012 (Nov. 2014). https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/hpnvv0812.pdf

12. Hsieh & Pugh (1993): Poverty, income inequality, and violent crime—meta-analysis (Criminal Justice Review). https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1994-33910-001

13. Pratt & Cullen (2005): Assessing macro-level predictors and theories of crime—meta-analysis (Crime and Justice). https://www.jstor.org/stable/3488363

14. Rufrancos et al. (2013): Income Inequality and Crime—time-series review. https://rufrancos.org/1.pdf

15. Brookings Metro (Mar. 11, 2025): The path to public safety requires economic opportunity. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-path-to-public-safety-requires-economic-opportunity/

16. City Journal (Feb. 21, 2025): A critique of poverty-crime explanations. https://www.city-journal.org/article/brookings-institution-crime-report-poverty-race-violence

17. Cohen & Felson (1979): Social Change and Crime Rate Trends (American Sociological Review). https://www.jstor.org/stable/2094589

18. Crime Science editorial (2015): Crime patterns in time and space—Newton & Felson. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40163-015-0025-6

19. Buil-Gil (2025): The Structure of Unstructured Time and Crime (British Journal of Criminology). https://academic.oup.com/bjc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/bjc/azaf035/8128661

20. CrimRxiv preprint (2025): Unstructured Spare Time as an International Predictor of Adolescent Crime. https://www.crimrxiv.com/pub/13s4t4td

21. Council on Criminal Justice: Crime Trends in U.S. Cities—Mid-Year 2025 update. https://counciloncj.org/crime-trends-in-u-s-cities-mid-year-2025-update/

22. Stateline (July 24, 2025): Violent crime continues to drop across U.S. cities (summary of CCJ). https://stateline.org/2025/07/24/violent-crime-continues-to-drop-across-us-cities-report-shows/

23. Ezekiel 16:49 (OpenBible topical). https://www.openbible.info/topics/idleness

24. Proverbs 6:6–11 (ESV—BibleGateway). https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Proverbs%206:6-11&version=ESV

25. Ecclesiastes 10:18 (BibleHub). https://biblehub.com/ecclesiastes/10-18.htm 26. 2 Thessalonians 3:10 (ESV—BibleGateway). https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=2%20Thessalonians%203:10&version

Rich Hoffman

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