You can imagine how it was for Elon Musk. Many believe that he was befriending President Trump to ensure the future of electric cars. However, once Tesla suffered a significant loss in market share because Musk was associated with MAGA, the shareholders became very concerned. Then, when the Big Beautiful Bill came out, it seemed as though Musk had not influenced Trump at all. Musk has been a Democrat for years and has even called himself a socialist. So all this MAGA stuff was new to him, and he was losing employees at his companies because of his political affiliation. So I understand Musk’s need to distance himself from Trump because it was hurting his companies, and the fun wore off. I do think he was sincerely a MAGA supporter, but the DOGE effort was much more difficult, and the government spending was much worse than he understood it to be. The criticism that there wasn’t a trillion dollars in savings found in those first couple of months was something he couldn’t deal with. Tesla dealerships were being bombed by radical Democrats, people who had formerly supported Musk. Not that he felt Trump had abandoned him on the EV mandate. From his point of view, it was all for nothing, and he lost billions of dollars in the process, with the added consequence of losing market share in his brand. However, the EV car mandate was never going to be implemented during the Trump administration, and the critics of Musk were never going to let him live it down. I understand his anger; it costs a lot of money to have values in the world, and that is a price that Musk just isn’t willing to pay. He was a converted personality who moved from Democrat to MAGA. So, none of this fighting is in his soul. And when things got rough, he wavered.

But with all this fear of a third party being created and that it’s going to rot out the Republican Party, that’s not how it is. Elon Musk’s America Party is likely to turn out to be another DOGE, an ambitious project that has a lot more political reality to it than will ultimately work in his favor. The Republican Party has already gone through a renovation period, and it is now the MAGA Party, and that’s how it’s going to emerge over these next four years. It’s the Democrats that have the problems, and they are now going through what the Republican Party went through during the last thirty years. I remember it well because I was part of that change in the Republican Party and I can say with confidence that Musk’s America Party will split the Democrat Party in two, and even then, many will not join because their lives will be so good under President Trump, that it will stay a fringe effort that never really gets much traction. When George H.W. Bush was in the White House, right after Reagan, he wasn’t very effective, and the Reform Party started as a response under Ross Perot. And I was one of the very first members, and I had a front row seat to how it formed. And over the next decade, people like Pat Buchanan and Donald Trump joined the party to try to run as kind of independent candidates alongside mainstream Republicans. As a result, Democrats had a period where they won majorities because Republicans were splitting their votes.
The Reform Party evolved into the Tea Party, and again, mainstream Republicans attempted to co-opt them and pull them back into the mainstream. However, it didn’t work, and that effort evolved into the MAGA party with Trump’s announcement that he would run for president in 2015. And we know how hard that has been. Up until a few months ago, it was a death blow socially to admit that anybody supported President Trump. It wasn’t easy, and then some. So these political parties are not for the faint of heart. I remember in just the last election, the RINO label hung heavy on mainstream politicians, and most of them have been pushed out of office, people like Thom Tillis and Mitch McConnell, people who used to be political heavyweights, but were washed away by the tide. Instead, you can see the kind of misfits who are talking about joining Musk in the America Party, people like Mark Cuban and Anthony Scaramucci, all former Trump rejects. The next thing we’ll hear is that Omarosa is going to join, too, and perhaps even Stormy Daniels. Putin might be next, and maybe the former country of Iran. What the America Party is going to look like is the island of misfit toys who have fallen out of Trump’s orbit and are upset about it. It will turn out to be the crybaby party and will run out of steam relatively quickly as everyone involved realizes how hard it is to accomplish these things. I used to spend time with the Perot family during the early days of the Reform Party, and let me say, even brilliant people underestimate how difficult it is to beat the two-party system. Because two parties emerge for a reason, by mathematical necessity, not sentiment, you could have in America many parties, as they do in Europe and elsewhere, but the problem is, nobody ever wins a majority, and those experiments usually fall apart quickly.
But when Musk’s America Party splits the Democrats in two and harms them much more than it will the Republicans, people in the MAGA movement will see the distinct benefit. As I have been saying, if Trump can get election reform to prevent cheating, Democrats may have a hard time winning everywhere, because they have been counting on election fraud just to stay close for decades. So I say let Musk have his America Party and bleed away Democrats. Because the Democrats are destroyed right now as they are turning hard left toward open communism and socialism, they were always Marxist oriented, and now many of them are without a Party, and they aren’t happy about it. And Musk is one of them. It was fun to be “Dark MAGA” until he realized the cost of that, and for many people, it’s just too great a burden day to day. It might be fun during elections, but politics is a rough life, and Musk will find that it takes more than an engineer’s mind to solve the problems, because they are primarily psychological. I think the America Party, with MAGA, will only get stronger, and there will be greater majorities in Congress during the midterms. So I think it would be a healthy exercise for the former Democrats to explore, let them fight it out between socialism and communism, and show the world what they have always been. It won’t be MAGA Republicans who peel away, and the RINOs will stay where the tax burdens are least. They won’t be joining Musk. It will only be those who are already considered Democrats, as Musk has been. His self-interest drove his conversion to the Republican Party, and it didn’t work out the way he had hoped. So he was always at best a fair-weather fan. And the creation of another political party only hurts Democrats. I don’t care what the polling says, because they don’t know how to ask the right questions yet. This is a new political climate, and the old models are not adequate measures. With the creation of the America Party, it will destroy the Democrat Party and will leave many little disjointed parties grabbing for power for decades. By then, Elon Musk will be living on Mars, and history will be blaming him for destroying what was left of the Democrats, because they will never recover.
Rich Hoffman

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